Result
3:0
11/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 13 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 14 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (282/326) | 82% (272/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (282/326) | 82% (272/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (31/42) | 57% (29/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (54/77) | 58% (34/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 40', Juanjo Nieto 🟨,
- 45+1', Petrovic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 56', 1 - 0, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Radeljic S. (A),
- 61', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Petrovic D. ⚽,
- 73', Daniel P. ↓, Jevsenak F. ↑,
- 73', Vuklisevic D. ↓, Avdyli M. ↑,
- 74', Gojak A. ↓, Menalo L. ↑,
- 76', Tutyskinas A. 🟥,
- 78', 3 - 0, Fruk T. ⚽, Vignato S. (A),
- 83', Vignato S. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 83', Petrovic D. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 83', Fruk T. ↓, Jankovic N. ↑,
- 88', Kvesic M. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
- 88', Vidovic I. ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
51.7% | Draw
26% | Celje
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijeka's performance.Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celje might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijeka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Rijeka - Celje Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.09) |
3.64 ↑
(3.31) |
4.25 ↑
(3.33) |
5.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Celje?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%). Celje will win (votes: 5 - 12.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 54.7% – 83.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Celje (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Celje (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 4.
- Rijeka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Celje has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rijeka is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D.
(Injury)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Celje: Hrka D.
(Yellow Cards)
Sluga S.
(Inactive)
Vukasovic N.
(Inactive)
Zabukovnik M.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 3.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 3.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Celje?
Rijeka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Celje won against Rijeka?
Celje has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Celje were as follows:
25.03.2023
Rijeka
-
Celje
1:1
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
