Result
0:0
09/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 2
- Referee: Culina A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/465) | 80% (243/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (399/465) | 80% (243/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 49% (27/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (118/149) | 65% (53/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Ilinkovic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Shopov S. 🟨,
- 55', Menalo L. 🟨,
- 57', Ilinkovic S. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
- 57', Menalo L. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
- 57', Cop D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 68', Fruk T. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 69', Zivkovic F. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 78', Orec A. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 81', Petrovic D. 🟥,
- 84', Vrbancic L. 🟨,
- 85', Shopov S. ↓, Colina D. ↑,
- 86', Renan Guedes 🟨,
- 89', Lasickas J. 🟨,
- 89', Dantas T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
31.5% | Draw
30.2% | Rijeka
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osijek's performance.Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rijeka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rijeka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Osijek - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(5.16) |
3.14 ↓
(3.16) |
2.42 ↑
(1.79) |
6.6%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Rijeka will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 19.9% – 64.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Rijeka (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- Recent performances by Osijek have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rijeka has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Rijeka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jakupovic A.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Petrovic D.
(Inactive)
Rukavina G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Rijeka?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Osijek?
Rijeka has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Rijeka were as follows:
23.04.2025
Rijeka
-
Osijek
0:2
16.02.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
10.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Osijek
1:1
25.08.2024
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
19.05.2024
Osijek
-
Rijeka
2:0
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | Gorica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 2 |
| 8 | Varazdin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Osijek | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
