Result
0:2
23/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/507) | 68% (166/245) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (431/507) | 68% (166/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 21% (12/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/128) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (6/30) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.68 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', Manev J. 🟨,
- 20', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Omerovic N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Jelenic L. ↓, Mersinaj J. ↑,
- 49', Orec A. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 2, Soldo M. ⚽,
- 56', Orec A. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
- 56', Menalo L. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 56', Selahi L. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
- 65', Petrovic D. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 65', Djouahra N. ↓, Rukavina G. ↑,
- 74', Hernani ↓, Pusic P. ↑,
- 85', Jugovic V. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 90+2', Soldo M. ↓, Cvijanovic I. ↑,
- 90+5', Pedro Lima 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
66.2% | Draw
21.7% | Osijek
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Rijeka - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.5) |
4.32 ↑
(4.01) |
7.72 ↑
(6.5) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Osijek will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 69.5% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 3.
- Recent matches Rijeka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Osijek has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recently Osijek have a series of guest games.
- In this match Rijeka is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Majstorovic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Osijek: Bukvic D.
(Yellow Cards)
Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:19 (average 1.1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Rijeka won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Osijek?
Rijeka has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Rijeka?
Osijek has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Osijek were as follows:
16.02.2025
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
10.11.2024
Rijeka
-
Osijek
1:1
25.08.2024
Osijek
-
Rijeka
0:2
19.05.2024
Osijek
-
Rijeka
2:0
10.03.2024
Rijeka
-
Osijek
3:0
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lok. Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
