Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 19
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/381) | 87% (373/430) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (307/381) | 87% (373/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 52% (24/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (88/131) | 71% (71/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Nestorovski I. ⚽, Isasegi K. (A),
- 27', Suto A. 🟨,
- 29', Morchiladze T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Majstorovic A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Cop D. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
- 46', Morchiladze T. ↓, Barisic T. ↑,
- 46', Bozic T. ↓, Medjimorec V. ↑,
- 63', Devetak M. ↓, Bodetic N. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Ndockyt M. ⚽, Orec A. (A),
- 67', Cubelic I. ↓, Agbekpornu M. ↑,
- 70', Vignato S. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
- 70', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 74', Nestorovski I. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
- 74', Mitrovic J. ↓, Mazar F. ↑,
- 78', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 80', Husic A. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Jagusic A. ⚽, Lepinjica I. (A),
- 84', Suto A. ↓, Qestaj E. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Dantas T. ⚽,
- 90+4', Juric A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rijeka
58.1% | Draw
25% | Slaven Belupo
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Rijeka - Slaven Belupo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.6) |
3.74 ↑
(3.74) |
5.55 ↑
(5.16) |
6.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rijeka - Slaven Belupo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Rijeka (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rijeka will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 3.
- Rijeka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Slaven Belupo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Slaven Belupo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Slaven Belupo has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Rijeka is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Rijeka: Radeljic S.
(Yellow Cards)
Skoric M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rijeka: Adu Adjei D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Covic I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rijeka won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rijeka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:7. (average 1.8:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Slaven Belupo?
Rijeka has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Rijeka?
Slaven Belupo has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rijeka - Slaven Belupo were as follows:
18.10.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Rijeka
1:1
03.08.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
29.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
25.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
14.05.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Rijeka
1:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
