Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 10
- Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/350) | 76% (332/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (271/350) | 76% (332/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (20/57) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (48/79) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Thaqi D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Adu Adjei D. ⚽, Dantas T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caimacov M. ↓, Liber A. ↑,
- 64', Lepinjica I. ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
- 65', Dantas T. ↓, Gojak A. ↑,
- 65', Thaqi D. ↓, Devetak M. ↑,
- 66', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 66', Agbekpornu M. 🟨,
- 68', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
- 73', Orec A. 🟨,
- 74', Agbekpornu M. ↓, Cubelic I. ↑,
- 74', Zuta L. ↓, Jakir A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Filipovic A. ⚽, Jagusic A. (A),
- 77', Filipovic A. 🟨,
- 78', Bogojevic B. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Slaven Belupo
18.4% | Draw
29.6% | Rijeka
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slaven Belupo's form might have worsened.Rijeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rijeka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slaven Belupo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rijeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Slaven Belupo - Rijeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.01 ↑
(3.57) |
3.49 ↑
(3.38) |
1.93 ↓
(2.04) |
-2.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Slaven Belupo - Rijeka?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rijeka will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Slaven Belupo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Slaven Belupo has had a series of away games.
- Rijeka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I.
(Injury)
Cubelic I.
(Inactive)
Isasegi K.
(Injury)
Nestorovski I.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rijeka: Kreilach D.
(Inactive)
Skoric M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Slaven Belupo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Slaven Belupo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Slaven Belupo won against Rijeka?
Slaven Belupo has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rijeka won against Slaven Belupo?
Rijeka has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Slaven Belupo - Rijeka were as follows:
03.08.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
29.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
1:0
25.05.2025
Rijeka
-
Slaven Belupo
2:0
14.05.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Rijeka
1:1
29.03.2025
Slaven Belupo
-
Rijeka
2:1
Latest results of Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Lok. Zagreb | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rijeka | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gorica | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Osijek | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
