Rijeka vs Sparta Prague – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Jones R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.72
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
57% (141/247)64% (205/321)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.700.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.33
Total shots
810
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
168
Passes
57% (141/247)64% (205/321)
Long passes
25% (20/81)29% (22/76)
Passes in final third
42% (37/89)49% (56/115)
Crosses
22% (2/9)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.46
Throw-ins
2132
Fouls
816
Tackles
47% (8/17)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4930
Clearances
2917
Interceptions
139
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.330.33
Goals prevented
0.33-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Mannsverk S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cop D. , Adu Adjei D. ,
  • 46', Mannsverk S. , Kairinen K. ,
  • 46', Suchomel M. , Rynes M. ,
  • 47', Sorensen A. 🟨,
  • 67', Thaqi D. , Menalo L. ,
  • 67', Ndockyt M. , Dantas T. ,
  • 71', Orec A. 🟨,
  • 73', Preciado A. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Adu Adjei D. , Orec A. (A),
  • 79', Sevinsky A. 🟨,
  • 79', Zeleny J. , Mercado J. ,
  • 81', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 83', Sanchez V. 🟨,
  • 84', Vydra P. , Milla K. ,
  • 90+4', Kuchta J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rijeka
22.3%
Draw
33.2%
Sparta Prague
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.7% 27.3% 46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3% 26.9% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Rijeka - Sparta Prague Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.39
    (3.54)
    2.74
    (3.47)
    2.19
    (2.05)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.25
    What is the prediction for Rijeka - Sparta Prague?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Sparta Prague will win (votes: 23 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Prague: 51.9%83.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Rijeka (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Rijeka (2.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Rijeka (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Rijeka (2.31) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Rijeka (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Rijeka (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sparta Prague will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Sparta Prague (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Live broadcast of Radiožurnál Sport.
    • Rijeka has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sparta Prague is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Rijeka has had a series of away games.
    • Sparta Prague will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rijeka: Jankovic N. (Red Card) Kreilach D. (Inactive) Skoric M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury) Haraslin L. (Ankle Injury) Holly D. (Injury) Martinec J. (Inactive) Sadilek L. (Health problems) Vorel V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rijeka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Rijeka
    18.10.2025 Slaven Belupo - Rijeka 1:1
    05.10.2025 Gorica - Rijeka 1:3
    02.10.2025 Noah Yerevan - Rijeka 1:0
    27.09.2025 Rijeka - Istra 1961 0:0
    22.09.2025 Vukovar 91 - Rijeka 3:2
    Latest results of Sparta Prague
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2