Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Rilski Sportist – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
100:99 OT
21/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bulgarian Cup - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8177
Field goals made
3936
Field goals %
48.15%46.75%
2-point field goals attempts
5555
2-point field goals made
2828
2-point field goals %
50.91%50.91%
3-point field goals attempts
2622
3-point field goals made
118
3-point field goals %
42.31%36.36%
Free throws attempts
1423
Free throws made
1119
Free throws %
78.6%82.6%
Offensive rebounds
1111
Defensive rebounds
3030
Total rebounds
4141
Assists
1822
Blocks
44
Turnovers
99
Steals
54
Personal fouls
1821

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Plovdiv
43.5%
Rilski Sportist
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Plovdiv's performance.
  • Rilski Sportist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rilski Sportist might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rilski Sportist than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.5)

    1.63
    (1.5)
    9.7%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 175.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5, OT - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rilski Sportist is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lokomotiv Plovdiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rilski Sportist has had a series of home games.
    • Rilski Sportist will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Rilski Sportist will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 150:158. (average 75:79).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:84.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist 72:84
    15.11.2025 Rilski Sportist - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 74:78
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Latest results of Rilski Sportist
    Draw
    2026

    Quarter-finals
    1BeroeLok. Plovdiv101 : 117
    2Rilski SportistAcademic Plovdiv88 : 81
    3BalkanSpartak Pleven85 : 53
    4MinyorCherno More91 : 105

    Semi-finals
    1Lok. PlovdivRilski Sportist100 : 99
    2BalkanCherno More76 : 77

    Final
    1Lok. PlovdivCherno More87 : 88