Rinky Hijikata vs Fabio Fognini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/04/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
63%57%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (44/66)62% (47/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (14/39)47% (27/58)
Break Points Saved
36% (4/11)60% (9/15)
1st Return Points Won
38% (29/76)33% (22/66)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (31/58)64% (25/39)
Break Points Converted
40% (6/15)64% (7/11)
Winners
3237
Unforced Errors
4449
Net Points Won
42% (5/12)56% (9/16)
Service Points Won
56% (55/99)55% (74/134)
Return Points Won
45% (60/134)44% (44/99)
Total Points Won
49% (115/233)51% (118/233)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
56% (9/16)56% (9/16)
Return Games Won
44% (7/16)44% (7/16)
Total Games Won
50% (16/32)50% (16/32)

Chances of winning


Rinky Hijikata
40%
Fabio Fognini
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rinky Hijikata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rinky Hijikata's form might have worsened.
  • Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabio Fognini's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rinky Hijikata than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rinky Hijikata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2)

    1.56
    (1.78)
    6.7%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Rinky Hijikata - Fabio Fognini?
  • Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fabio Fognini will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hijikata is ranked ATP: 84. Fognini is ranked ATP: 112.
    • Recent matches Hijikata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fognini is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Fognini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Rinky Hijikata
    Latest results of Fabio Fognini
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (22)
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Lehecka J. (11)TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2