Marítimo vs Rio Ave – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga BPI Women - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
36
Shots on target
25
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
36
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
11
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Sisse F. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Shepherd S. ,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Contente M. , Martins C. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Henrichs S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 76', Fetty R. , Conduto B. ,
  • 79', Coutinho R. , Freitas I. ,
  • 79', Nemtsov E. , Oliveira L. ,
  • 90+3', Sisse F. , Radosavljevic J. ,

Chances of winning


Marítimo
35.5%
Draw
27%
Rio Ave
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.4% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 25.9% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.
  • Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Ave, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marítimo - Rio Ave Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.08)
    3.37
    (3.48)
    2.43
    (3.13)
    9.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Marítimo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Rio Ave were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Rio Ave - Marítimo 1:1
    Latest results of Marítimo
    18.01.2026 Marítimo - Porto 1:2
    14.01.2026 Valadares Gaia - Marítimo 6:0
    10.01.2026 Valadares Gaia - Marítimo 2:3
    07.01.2026 Marítimo - Valadares Gaia 2:0
    04.01.2026 Marítimo - Braga 2:2
    Latest results of Rio Ave
    18.01.2026 Braga - Rio Ave 2:1
    14.01.2026 Racing Power - Rio Ave 0:1
    10.01.2026 Benfica - Rio Ave 2:0
    04.01.2026 Rio Ave - Damaiense 1:0
    20.12.2025 Rio Ave - Valadares Gaia 0:2
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SL Benfica W12102044:63832
    2Sporting W1274128:91925
    3Torreense W1270521:17421
    4Valadares Gaia W1253414:14018
    5Braga W1244419:13616
    6Vitoria Guimaraes W1235413:19-614
    7Racing Power W123458:15-713
    8Maritimo W1232716:30-1411
    9Rio Ave W122376:15-99
    10Damaiense W121389:40-316

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation