Rio Branco AC ES vs Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Corner kicks
63
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
10
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
54
Corner kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Romulo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Romarinho 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Guilherme Brito ,
  • 58', Rafael , Joao Paulo ,
  • 59', Neto Oliveira , David Lopes ,
  • 59', Murilo Henrique , Brandao ,
  • 60', Erlon , Mauricio ,
  • 61', Kauan 🟨,
  • 61', Mauricio 🟨,
  • 68', David Lima , Gilbert ,
  • 69', Kauan , Diego ,
  • 73', Ze Mateus , Edu ,
  • 79', Guilherme Brito , Gabriel Lisboa ,
  • 79', Jaquison , Felipe Affonso ,
  • 84', Romarinho 🟥,
  • 90+13', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rio Branco AC ES
62.6%
Draw
23.5%
Noroeste
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 21.3% 11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 20.3% 10.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Branco AC ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco AC ES, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.35)
    3.89
    (4.29)
    6.6
    (8.15)
    9.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco AC ES won 2.
    • Rio Branco AC ES has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Noroeste has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Rio Branco AC ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rio Branco AC ES is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rio Branco AC ES won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rio Branco AC ES won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste 2:3
    19.02.2025 Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES 1:1
    15.05.2024 Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES 2:3
    02.03.2024 Rio Branco AC ES - Noroeste 0:1
    28.02.2024 Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES 1:2
    Latest results of Rio Branco AC ES
    Latest results of Noroeste
    29.01.2026 Noroeste - Vitória ES 0:4
    26.01.2026 Vilavelhense - Noroeste 1:0
    22.01.2026 Noroeste - Serra 1:1
    18.01.2026 Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste 2:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES
    2VilavelhenseSerra

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2