Rio Branco de Americana vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP
Result
4:0
08/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Luketa ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 0, Jean Pablo ,
  • 63', 3 - 0, Felipe Muranga ,
  • 69', Luizao 🟥,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Rio Branco de Americana
47.2%
Draw
29.6%
Comercial SP
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 26.1% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7% 26.9% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Branco de Americana's form might have worsened.
  • Comercial SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Branco de Americana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.69)
    3.08
    (3.5)
    3.92
    (4.57)
    9.9%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4).
    • Rio Branco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Comercial SP is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Comercial SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rio Branco is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3