Rio Noguchi vs Hiroki Moriya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cary Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya
Result
1:2
01/07/2025 at 17:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cary, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
61%48%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (38/58)61% (28/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (17/37)49% (24/49)
Break Points Saved
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
39% (18/46)34% (20/58)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (25/49)54% (20/37)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
Winners
1331
Unforced Errors
4174
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
58% (55/95)55% (52/95)
Return Points Won
45% (43/95)42% (40/95)
Total Points Won
52% (98/190)48% (92/190)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
62%
Hiroki Moriya
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hiroki Moriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.63)

    2.46
    (2.19)
    6.8%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Moriya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Moriya is ranked ATP: 398.
    • In recent matches, Noguchi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Moriya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya were as follows:
    01.11.2023 Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    25.10.2023 Hiroki Moriya - Rio Noguchi 2:1
    19.09.2023 Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya 2:0
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Latest results of Hiroki Moriya
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Rybakov A. (Q)Ilagan A. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Maloney P.Kirchheimer S. (Q)2 : 1
    4Sakamoto R.Mejia N. (7)2 : 1
    5Galarneau A. (4)Roh H. (JR)2 : 0
    6Dostanic S. (WC)Martin A. (Alt)1 : 2
    7Nakagawa N.Sell K.0 : 2
    8Imamura M. (Alt)Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    9Tomic B. (9)Bigun K. (JR)0 : 2
    10Wu Y.Mayew I. (WC)2 : 0
    11Manning W. (WC)Glinka D. (Q)1 : 2
    12Zheng M. (Q)Jasika O. (3)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Moriya H. (Q)1 : 2
    14Andrade A.Mayo A.0 : 2
    15Sheehy J. (Q)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    16Sekulic P. (PR)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    2Maloney P.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Martin A.2 : 1
    4Sell K.Kypson P. (8)0 : 2
    5Bigun K.Wu Y.0 : 2
    6Glinka D.Zheng M.0 : 2
    7Moriya H.Mayo A.0 : 2
    8Sheehy J.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Schoolkate T. (1)Sakamoto R.0 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Kypson P. (8)1 : 2
    3Wu Y.Zheng M.2 : 0
    4Mayo A.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sakamoto R.Kypson P. (8)2 : 0
    2Wu Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto R.Draxl L. (2)2 : 0