Kaichi Uchida vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Zhangjiagang Challenger Men Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi
Result
2:0
28/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
10
1st Serve Percentage
50%57%
1st Serve Points Won
90% (26/29)72% (26/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
69% (20/29)48% (13/27)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
33% (12/36)10% (3/29)
2nd Return Points Won
52% (14/27)31% (9/29)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
79% (45/57)62% (38/61)
Return Points Won
38% (23/61)21% (12/57)
Total Points Won
58% (68/118)42% (50/118)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Kaichi Uchida
33.2%
Rio Noguchi
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.54)

    1.4
    (1.44)
    7.1%
    (8.8%)
    What is the prediction for Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uchida will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Uchida is ranked ATP: 579. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Noguchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uchida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
    21.07.2024 Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    09.01.2024 Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi 1:2
    31.12.2023 Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida 2:1
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    26.08.2025 Linang Xiao - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    19.08.2025 Jaime Faria - Rio Noguchi 2:1
    14.08.2025 Liam Draxl - Rio Noguchi Canceled
    12.08.2025 Rio Noguchi - James Watt 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tomic B. (1)Sekulic P. (PR)1 : 2
    2Binda A.Tokuda R. (Alt)1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Moriya H.1 : 2
    4Imamura M.Crawford O. (6)0 : 2
    5Sun F. (4)Mo Y. C. (WC)2 : 1
    6Shin S.Shin W.2 : 0
    7Fomin S. (Alt)Isomura K.0 : 2
    8Cui J.Gea A. (8)2 : 1
    9Simakin I. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 0
    10Charlton J. (Q)Te R. (WC)2 : 1
    11Peliwo F. (Q)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    12Watt J. (LL)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2
    13Uchiyama Y. (5)Kikuchi Y. (Q)2 : 1
    14Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q)Huang T. (Q)1 : 1
    15Castelnuovo L. (Alt)Uchida K. (Q)0 : 2
    16Xiao L. (WC)Noguchi R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sekulic P.Tokuda R.0 : 2
    2Moriya H.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    3Sun F. (4)Shin S.0 : 2
    4Isomura K.Cui J.2 : 1
    5Simakin I. (7)Charlton J.2 : 0
    6Peliwo F.Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    7Uchiyama Y. (5)Huang T.2 : 0
    8Uchida K.Noguchi R. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Tokuda R.Crawford O. (6)1 : 2
    2Shin S.Isomura K.1 : 2
    3Simakin I. (7)Shimabukuro S. (3)0 : 2
    4Uchiyama Y. (5)Uchida K.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Crawford O. (6)Isomura K.2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Uchiyama Y. (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Crawford O. (6)Shimabukuro S. (3)1 : 2