Rio Noguchi vs Kaichi Uchida – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shenzhen 4 Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida
Result
1:2
15/10/2025 at 01:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
97
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
72%66%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (45/63)81% (42/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (14/25)52% (14/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
19% (10/52)37% (23/63)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (13/27)44% (11/25)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
67% (59/88)71% (56/79)
Return Points Won
29% (23/79)33% (29/88)
Total Points Won
49% (82/167)51% (85/167)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
45% (14/31)55% (17/31)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
55.3%
Kaichi Uchida
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 46.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Kaichi Uchida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.73)

    2.09
    (2)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Rio Noguchi will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219. Uchida is ranked ATP: 367.
    • Noguchi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Uchida is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Uchida will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida were as follows:
    28.08.2025 Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi 2:0
    21.07.2024 Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    09.01.2024 Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi 1:2
    31.12.2023 Rio Noguchi - Kaichi Uchida 2:1
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Castelnuovo L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mo Y. C. (Q)Sultanov K.2 : 0
    3Kotov P.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cui J. (WC)McCabe J. (5)2 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Chung H.Te R. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    7Zhou Y.Wang X. (Q)2 : 0
    8Wang A. (Q)Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    9Noguchi R. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    10Samrej K.Jung J. (PR)0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Uchiyama Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Dev S D P. (Q)Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (6)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    14Fomin S. (Q)Weber A.2 : 0
    15Honda N. (JR)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    16Harris L.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    2Kotov P.Cui J.1 : 2
    3Sun F.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Zhou Y. (WO.)Wang A.
    5Uchida K.Jung J. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Jasika O.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (6)Fomin S.2 : 1
    8Ferreira Silva F.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mo Y. C.Cui J.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    3Uchida K.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (6)Mayot H. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    2Jacquet K. (3)Shimabukuro S. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhou Y.Jacquet K. (3)