Li Tu vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/03/2026 at 01:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokkaichi, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
63
1st serve percentage
51%73%
1st serve points won
66% (27/41)64% (44/69)
2nd serve points won
41% (16/39)52% (13/25)
Break Points Saved
6/126/9
1st return points won
36% (25/69)37% (15/41)
2nd return points won
48% (12/25)59% (23/39)
Break Points Converted
3/96/12
Service Points Won
53% (42/80)61% (57/94)
Return Points Won
39% (37/94)48% (38/80)
Total Points Won
45% (79/174)55% (95/174)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
02
Service games won
57% (8/14)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)43% (6/14)
Total games won
39% (11/28)61% (17/28)

Chances of winning


Li Tu
56%
Rio Noguchi
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Li Tu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Li Tu than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Li Tu - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.67)

    2.1
    (2.08)
    6.9%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Li Tu - Rio Noguchi?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tu will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Noguchi will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tu is ranked ATP: 428. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 245.
    • Tu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Noguchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tu could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Li Tu - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
    12.06.2023 Rio Noguchi - Li Tu 2:0
    Latest results of Li Tu
    24.03.2026 Li Tu - Carl Emil Overbeck 2:0
    21.03.2026 Ryo Tabata - Li Tu Canceled
    05.03.2026 Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu 1:2
    04.03.2026 Keisuke Saitoh - Li Tu 0:2
    02.03.2026 Shinji Hazawa - Li Tu 1:2
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shimabukuro S. (1)Honda N. (WC)0 : 2
    2Broady L.Trotter J. K.2 : 0
    3Tu L. (Alt)Overbeck C. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinNoguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    5Hsu Y. H. (4)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    6Shimizu Y.Cui J. (Q)2 : 1
    7Samrej K. (Q)Jubb P.0 : 2
    8Wendelken H.Zhou Y. (5)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (6)Sun F. (Q)0 : 2
    10Shin S.Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Jones M.Uchiyama Y.1 : 2
    12Isomura K. (WC)Added D. (3)0 : 2
    13McCabe J. (8)Ilagan A.2 : 0
    14Matsuoka H.Milic O. (NG)2 : 1
    15Ellis B. (PR)Kwon S.0 : 2
    16Tokuda R.Holmgren A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Honda N.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Tu L.Noguchi R. (7)1 : 2
    3Hsu Y. H. (4)Shimizu Y.1 : 2
    4Jubb P.Wendelken H.1 : 2
    5Sun F.Imamura M.2 : 1
    6Uchiyama Y.Added D. (3)2 : 0
    7McCabe J. (8)Matsuoka H.0 : 2
    8Kwon S.Holmgren A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Broady L.Noguchi R. (7)0 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    3Sun F.Uchiyama Y.0 : 2
    4Matsuoka H.Kwon S. (RET.)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (7)Wendelken H.2 : 1
    2Uchiyama Y.Matsuoka H.2 : 1

    Final
    1Noguchi R. (7)Uchiyama Y.2 : 1