Result
0:2
12/07/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 58% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (15/31) | 86% (18/21) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 67% (10/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 52% (16/31) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 63% (15/24) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 45% (5/11) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 86% (6/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 78% (28/36) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (8/36) | 56% (31/55) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (32/91) | 65% (59/91) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 88% (7/8) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 71% (5/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Chances of winning
Rio Noguchi
28.2% | Liam Draxl
71.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(3.07) |
|
1.31 ↓
(1.35) |
7%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Draxl will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 59% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Draxl is ranked ATP: 147.
- Recent performances by Noguchi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Draxl is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Draxl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Draxl is the team to beat.
- We predict that Draxl will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Noguchi won against Liam Draxl?
Rio Noguchi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liam Draxl won against Rio Noguchi?
Liam Draxl has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Liam Draxl were as follows:
Latest results of Rio Noguchi
Latest results of Liam Draxl
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Tudorica A. N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Sakamoto R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzige M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Johns G. | Chung H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Riedi L. (Q) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boulais J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (8) | Andrade A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Glinka D. (Q) | Imamura M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhou Y. | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Martin A. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | Arseneault N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Miyoshi K. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Moriya H. (Q) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andrade A. | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhou Y. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noguchi R. (6) | Arseneault N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimizu Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andrade A. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noguchi R. (6) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
