Rio Noguchi vs Maximus Jones – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/01/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 2, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
27
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
63%58%
1st serve points won
58% (32/55)67% (35/52)
2nd serve points won
36% (12/33)51% (19/37)
Break Points Saved
56% (9/16)73% (11/15)
1st return points won
37% (19/52)44% (24/55)
2nd return points won
49% (18/37)64% (21/33)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)44% (7/16)
Winners
2333
Unforced errors
4334
Net points won
67% (8/12)59% (10/17)
Service Points Won
49% (43/88)61% (54/89)
Return Points Won
39% (35/89)51% (45/88)
Total Points Won
44% (78/177)56% (99/177)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
42% (5/12)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)58% (7/12)
Total games won
36% (9/25)64% (16/25)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
61.1%
Maximus Jones
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%

Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.53
(1.43)

2.38
(2.6)
7.4%
(8.4%)
What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Noguchi will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jones will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Noguchi: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rio Noguchi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 246. Jones is ranked ATP: 378.
    • Noguchi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Jones has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Noguchi is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Noguchi will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Noguchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones were as follows:
    09.01.2025 Maximus Jones - Rio Noguchi 1:2
    09.01.2024 Rio Noguchi - Maximus Jones 2:1
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    14.01.2026 Rio Noguchi - Marek Gengel 2:1
    13.01.2026 Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal Noguchi R. retired
    09.01.2026 Marek Gengel - Rio Noguchi 0:2
    Latest results of Maximus Jones
    14.01.2026 Yi Zhou - Maximus Jones 1:2
    14.01.2026 Petr Bar-Biryukov - Maximus Jones Bar Biryukov P. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Noguchi R. (1)Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    2Trongcharoenchaikul W. (WC)Nagal S.0 : 2
    3Gengel M. (Q)Tokuda R.2 : 1
    4Uchiyama Y. (Q)Martin A. (7)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (3)Oberleitner N. (Q)2 : 0
    6Cui J.Langmo C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Bar Biryukov P.Martineau M.2 : 1
    8Jones M. (WC)Schwaerzler J. J. (6)2 : 1
    9Uchida K. (5)Bertrand R.2 : 1
    10Henning P. (RET.) (Q)Martin Tiffon P.1 : 1
    11Sharipov M.Chung H. (Q)2 : 0
    12Shimizu Y.Michalski D. (4)1 : 2
    13Sun F. (8)Zhukayev B.0 : 2
    14Ilagan A. (LL)Bax F.0 : 2
    15Trotter J. K.Samrej K. (WC)1 : 2
    16Ajdukovic D.Skatov T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Noguchi R. (1)Nagal S. (RET.)0 : 0
    2Gengel M.Uchiyama Y.2 : 0
    3Zhou Y. (3)Langmo C.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P. (RET.)Jones M.0 : 1
    5Uchida K. (5)Martin Tiffon P.0 : 2
    6Sharipov M.Michalski D. (4)2 : 0
    7Zhukayev B.Bax F.0 : 2
    8Samrej K.Skatov T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Noguchi R. (1)Gengel M.2 : 1
    2Zhou Y. (3)Jones M.1 : 2
    3Martin Tiffon P.Sharipov M.2 : 1
    4Bax F.Skatov T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Noguchi R. (1)Jones M.1 : 2
    2Martin Tiffon P.Skatov T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Jones M.Martin Tiffon P.1 : 2