Rio Noguchi vs Nicolas Arseneault – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Winnipeg Challenger Men Rio Noguchi - Nicolas Arseneault
Result
2:0
10/07/2025 at 11:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
71%51%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)58% (22/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (10/19)44% (16/36)
Break Points Saved
67% (4/6)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
42% (16/38)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (20/36)47% (9/19)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)33% (2/6)
Winners
2313
Unforced Errors
3337
Net Points Won
74% (14/19)100% (7/7)
Service Points Won
63% (41/65)51% (38/74)
Return Points Won
49% (36/74)37% (24/65)
Total Points Won
55% (77/139)45% (62/139)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
73.4%
Nicolas Arseneault
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.
  • Nicolas Arseneault has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Arseneault might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Arseneault could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Rio Noguchi - Nicolas Arseneault Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.41)

    3.47
    (2.79)
    7.3%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 222. Arseneault is ranked ATP: 714.
    • Noguchi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Arseneault is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Arseneault may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Noguchi could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Tudorica A. N. (Q)2 : 0
    2Nakagawa N.Sakamoto R.1 : 2
    3Bouzige M.Gengel M.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Shimizu Y. (5)1 : 2
    5Shimabukuro S. (3)Langmo C.2 : 0
    6Johns G.Chung H. (Q)2 : 1
    7Riedi L. (Q)Jubb P.1 : 2
    8Boulais J. (WC)Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    9Mejia N. (8)Andrade A.1 : 2
    10Glinka D. (Q)Imamura M.0 : 2
    11Zhou Y.Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1
    12Martin A.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Noguchi R. (6)Ilagan A.2 : 1
    14Aguilar J. C. M. (WC)Arseneault N. (Q)1 : 2
    15Miyoshi K.Sekulic P. (PR)2 : 0
    16Moriya H. (Q)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Bouzige M.Shimizu Y. (5)0 : 2
    3Shimabukuro S. (3)Johns G.2 : 0
    4Jubb P.Hsu Y. H. (7)0 : 2
    5Andrade A.Imamura M.2 : 0
    6Zhou Y.Martin A.2 : 0
    7Noguchi R. (6)Arseneault N.2 : 0
    8Miyoshi K.Draxl L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    2Shimabukuro S. (3)Hsu Y. H. (7)2 : 1
    3Andrade A.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    4Noguchi R. (6)Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Blockx A. (1)Shimabukuro S. (3)2 : 1
    2Zhou Y.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Blockx A. (1)Draxl L. (2)1 : 2