Result
0:2
14/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/8-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
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| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 46% | 53% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 90% (28/31) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 57% (16/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 100% (1/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 48% (12/25) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 38% (11/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 33% (2/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 4 | 24 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 100% (3/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 75% (44/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 25% (15/59) | 41% (22/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (47/113) | 58% (66/113) |
| Last 10 Balls |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Rio Noguchi
37.2% | Stanislas Wawrinka
62.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stanislas Wawrinka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stanislas Wawrinka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↓
(3.2) |
|
1.51 ↑
(1.32) |
6.7%
(7.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Noguchi is ranked ATP: 210. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wawrinka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Rio Noguchi won against Stanislas Wawrinka?
Rio Noguchi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stanislas Wawrinka won against Rio Noguchi?
Stanislas Wawrinka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka were as follows:
Latest results of Rio Noguchi
Latest results of Stanislas Wawrinka
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Struff J-L. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Galan D. E. | Buse I. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zhukayev B. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | De Jong J. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Trungelliti M. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Gaston H. | Galarneau A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hernandez A. (WC) | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.) (LL) | Noguchi R. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Harper C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Lajovic D. (RET.) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | |
| 13 | Tabilo A. (6) | Passaro F. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Gigante M. (RET.) | Tirante T. A. (Alt) | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. | Wong C. (Alt) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Cazaux A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Zhukayev B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (3) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Galarneau A. | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Noguchi R. | Wawrinka S. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Burruchaga R. A. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Tabilo A. (6) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Wong C. | Cazaux A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (1) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | De Jong J. (3) | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Wawrinka S. | Cerundolo J. M. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Cazaux A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Buse I. | Svrcina D. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Wawrinka S. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Svrcina D. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
