Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Rio Noguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 01:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
120
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
64%62%
1st serve points won
93% (25/27)46% (12/26)
2nd serve points won
53% (8/15)44% (7/16)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)33% (2/6)
1st return points won
54% (14/26)11% (3/27)
2nd return points won
56% (9/16)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)0% (0/1)
Winners
296
Unforced errors
1915
Net points won
67% (4/6)57% (4/7)
Service Points Won
79% (33/42)45% (19/42)
Return Points Won
55% (23/42)21% (9/42)
Total Points Won
67% (56/84)33% (28/84)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
100% (8/8)43% (3/7)
Return games won
57% (4/7)0% (0/8)
Total games won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Stefanos Sakellaridis
50.2%
Rio Noguchi
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 58.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stefanos Sakellaridis's performance.
  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Noguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stefanos Sakellaridis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Noguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (2.28)

    1.9
    (1.57)
    7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Sakellaridis (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.12%97.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Sakellaridis (votes: 13 - 86.7%). Noguchi (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 275. Noguchi is ranked ATP: 250.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rio Noguchi were as follows:
    12.01.2026 Rio Noguchi - Stefanos Sakellaridis 2:0
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sweeny D. (1)Zhukayev B.1 : 2
    2Sakellaridis S.Sureshkumar M. (Q)2 : 0
    3Sekulic P. (PR)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    4Dhamne M. (WC)Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    5Gomez F. A. (4)Gill F.1 : 2
    6Bar Biryukov P.Singh D. (WC)2 : 0
    7Butvilas E.Geerts M.0 : 2
    8Singh K. (WC)Michalski D. (7)1 : 2
    9Crawford O. (5)Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    10Shin S. (Alt)Ivashka I. (PR)0 : 2
    11Binda A. (Q)Yevseyev D. (Q)2 : 1
    12Kasnikowski M. (Q)Clarke J. (3)0 : 2
    13Cina F. (6)Xilas I. (Q)2 : 0
    14Jorda Sanchis D. (Alt)Nagal S.0 : 2
    15Gray A.Chung H. (Q)2 : 0
    16Ferreira Silva F.Sakamoto R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zhukayev B.Sakellaridis S.1 : 2
    2Kuzmanov D.Noguchi R. (8)0 : 2
    3Gill F.Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    4Geerts M.Michalski D. (7)2 : 0
    5Crawford O. (5)Ivashka I.2 : 0
    6Binda A.Clarke J. (3)0 : 2
    7Cina F. (6)Nagal S.2 : 0
    8Gray A.Sakamoto R. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sakellaridis S.Noguchi R. (8)2 : 0
    2Gill F.Geerts M.2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (5)Clarke J. (3)2 : 1
    4Cina F. (6)Sakamoto R. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sakellaridis S.Gill F.2 : 0
    2Crawford O. (5)Sakamoto R. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sakellaridis S.Crawford O. (5)2 : 1