Rio Noguchi vs Sumit Nagal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/02/2026 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pune, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
53%76%
1st serve points won
57% (13/23)68% (26/38)
2nd serve points won
45% (9/20)83% (10/12)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/4)100% (4/4)
1st return points won
32% (12/38)43% (10/23)
2nd return points won
17% (2/12)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/4)100% (4/4)
Winners
1625
Unforced errors
2410
Net points won
80% (8/10)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
51% (22/43)72% (36/50)
Return Points Won
28% (14/50)49% (21/43)
Total Points Won
39% (36/93)61% (57/93)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
30
Service games won
43% (3/7)100% (8/8)
Return games won
0% (0/8)57% (4/7)
Total games won
20% (3/15)80% (12/15)

Chances of winning


Rio Noguchi
40.7%
Sumit Nagal
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rio Noguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Noguchi's form might have worsened.
  • Sumit Nagal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sumit Nagal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumit Nagal than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sumit Nagal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.9)

    1.56
    (1.8)
    7.8%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 50%). Nagal (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2 Games - Nagal (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Noguchi (votes: 1 - 25%). Nagal (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noguchi is ranked ATP: 250. Nagal is ranked ATP: 297.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Noguchi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal were as follows:
    13.01.2026 Rio Noguchi - Sumit Nagal Noguchi R. retired
    Latest results of Rio Noguchi
    Latest results of Sumit Nagal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Ivashka I. (PR)1 : 2
    2Dhamne M. (WC)Sakellaridis S.2 : 0
    3Ajdukovic D.Shin S.2 : 0
    4Bar Biryukov P.Ferreira Silva F. (5)0 : 2
    5Simakin I. (3)Leong M. W. K. (Q)2 : 1
    6Gray A.Michalski D.2 : 1
    7Carboni L. (NG)Shimizu Y.0 : 2
    8Kumasaka T. (Q)Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    9Noguchi R. (7)Nagal S.0 : 2
    10Geerts M.Gill F.1 : 2
    11Kasnikowski M. (Q)Singh K. (WC)2 : 0
    12Huang T. (LL)Crawford O. (4)1 : 2
    13Butvilas E. (8)Vishal Balsekar A. (WC)2 : 0
    14Wu Tung-Lin (Q)Binda A. (LL)2 : 0
    15Jorda Sanchis D. (LL)Imamura M. (Q)0 : 2
    16Takahashi Y. (Q)Clarke J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ivashka I. (RET.)Dhamne M.0 : 1
    2Ajdukovic D.Ferreira Silva F. (5)2 : 0
    3Simakin I. (3)Gray A.1 : 2
    4Shimizu Y.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    5Nagal S.Gill F.1 : 2
    6Kasnikowski M. (WO.)Crawford O. (4)
    7Butvilas E. (8)Wu Tung-Lin (RET.)1 : 0
    8Imamura M.Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Dhamne M.Ajdukovic D.1 : 2
    2Gray A.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    3Gill F.Kasnikowski M.2 : 1
    4Butvilas E. (8)Imamura M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ajdukovic D.Cina F. (6)0 : 2
    2Gill F.Butvilas E. (8)2 : 0

    Final
    1Cina F. (6)Gill F.2 : 1