União São João vs Rio Preto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 União São João - Rio Preto
Result
4:0
15/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 20', 1 - 0, Jhoninha ,
  • 45+3', 2 - 0, Thiago Timbo ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 3 - 0, Leo Machado ,
  • 85', 4 - 0, Caio Henrique ,
  • 90+4', Leo Machado 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


União São João
47.3%
Draw
29.7%
Rio Preto
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 29.2% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 29.6% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União São João's performance.
  • Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Preto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Preto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • União São João - Rio Preto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.17)
    3.07
    (3.13)
    3.97
    (3.16)
    9.6%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for União São João - Rio Preto?
  • Users Predictions: União São João will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches União São João is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Rio Preto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • União São João will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches União São João won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União São João - Rio Preto were as follows:
    07.02.2024 Rio Preto - União São João 0:1
    Latest results of União São João
    Latest results of Rio Preto
    08.03.2025 Rio Preto - Sertãozinho 1:1
    05.03.2025 Marília - Rio Preto 1:1
    01.03.2025 Rio Preto - Bandeirante 3:0
    26.02.2025 Rio Preto - Itapirense 0:0
    23.02.2025 XV de Jaú - Rio Preto 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1DesportivoRio Branco SP1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Monte AzulItapirense3 : 2, 0 : 0
    3SertaozinhoCatanduva0 : 0, 2 : 0
    4MariliaUniao Sao Joao3 : 0, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Rio Branco SPMonte Azul1 : 2, 0 : 1
    2SertaozinhoMarilia0 : 1, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Monte AzulSertaozinho1 : 1, 1 : 3