River Plate Montevideo vs Cerro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division River Plate Montevideo - Cerro
Result
0:0
02/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 1
  • Referee: Feres J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
32
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
64
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Cubero M. , Bacchia R. ,
  • 35', Macelli A. 🟨,
  • 38', Salaberry H. 🟨,
  • 45', Correa Gonzalez F. N. 🟨,
  • 45', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Jourdan E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Silvestre F. , Miranda A. ,
  • 60', Cuello E. , Falconis O. ,
  • 60', Camacho S. , Ocampo M. ,
  • 62', Suarez M. 🟨,
  • 73', Jourdan E. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 79', Caceres S. , Sosa E. ,
  • 82', Lopez I. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 90', De Leon F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


River Plate Montevideo
41%
Draw
30.6%
Cerro
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.8% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.11)
    3.01
    (3.21)
    3.29
    (3.41)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for River Plate Montevideo - Cerro?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • River Plate is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
    06.06.2025 Cerro - River Plate Montevideo 1:0
    03.02.2025 Cerro - River Plate Montevideo 1:1
    26.11.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Cerro 1:0
    26.05.2024 Cerro - River Plate Montevideo 3:2
    06.03.2024 Cerro - River Plate Montevideo 1:2
    Latest results of Cerro
    22.06.2025 Defensor Sporting - Cerro 2:1
    19.06.2025 Cerro - Cerro Largo 2:1
    13.06.2025 Plaza Colonia - Cerro 2:2
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Largo33005:149
    2Defensor Sp43013:4-19
    3Boston River42207:258
    4Liverpool M32103:127
    5Penarol32016:336
    6Racing Montevideo32013:216
    7Juventud42024:5-16
    8Nacional42118:624
    9CA Cerro31113:214
    10Danubio31112:204
    11Montevideo City31115:6-14
    12Miramar31024:403
    13Wanderers40131:4-31
    14River Plate30120:3-31
    15Plaza Colonia40131:6-51
    16Progreso30033:7-40

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