Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo
Result
1:0
11/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 2
  • Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
58
Corner Kicks
510
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
510
Goalkeeper Saves
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', De Leon F. , Quintana J. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, De los Santos G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Barrios G. 🟨,
  • 58', Pertusatti Gonzalez L. O. , Crespo E. ,
  • 58', Lopez I. , Schiappacasse N. ,
  • 58', Jourdan E. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 68', Cambon A. , Abreu D. ,
  • 75', Cabrera F. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 79', Barrios G. , Amaro M. ,
  • 84', Pacifico P. , Cuello E. ,
  • 84', Biscayzacu X. , Saravia M. ,
  • 90+1', Vera A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Almeida C. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Amaro M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Defensor Sporting
53%
Draw
26.3%
River Plate Montevideo
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 25.8% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 25% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.86)
    3.53
    (3.65)
    4.43
    (4.01)
    7.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Defensor Sporting will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Defensor Sporting is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo were as follows:
    01.06.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 1:2
    08.02.2025 River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 0:1
    16.10.2024 River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting 0:1
    19.07.2024 Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo 0:1
    14.04.2024 Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo 2:1
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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