Result
3:2
08/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
River Plate
46.2% | Vélez Sársfield
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vélez Sársfield's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
River Plate - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.7) |
|
1.78 ↓
(2.01) |
4.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 180.50
What is the prediction for River Plate - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. River Plate will win (votes: 2 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 5.
- Recent form of River Plate has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vélez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Vélez Sársfield?
River Plate has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against River Plate?
Vélez Sársfield has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
14.03.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
River Plate
1:3
09.02.2024
River Plate
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:0
Latest results of River Plate
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Gimnasia Esgrima W (1) | Ferro Carril Oeste W (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bell W (4) | San Isidro W (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sonder Rosario W (2) | San Lorenzo W (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors W (3) | Villa Dora W (6) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gimnasia Esgrima W (1) | San Isidro W (5) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Sonder Rosario W (2) | Boca Juniors W (3) | 0 : 1 |
Final
