Daniel Evans vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/04/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Concas R. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
59%69%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (31/46)72% (41/57)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (17/32)54% (14/26)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)86% (6/7)
1st Return Points Won
28% (16/57)33% (15/46)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (12/26)47% (15/32)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)25% (2/8)
Max Points In Row
65
Service Points Won
62% (48/78)66% (55/83)
Return Points Won
34% (28/83)38% (30/78)
Total Points Won
47% (76/161)53% (85/161)
Max Games In Row
23
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Daniel Evans
37.8%
Roberto Carballes Baena
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniel Evans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Evans's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Evans than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Evans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (1.91)

    1.53
    (1.9)
    4.8%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Evans will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Evans: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two players are in a poor body shape now.
    • Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Evans won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
    13.05.2023 Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans 2:1
    08.04.2023 Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniel Evans 2:1
    Latest results of Daniel Evans
    Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2