Roberto Carballes Baena vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Aces
05
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
70%50%
1st Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)79% (23/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (5/17)55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
24% (7/29)49% (19/39)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (13/29)71% (12/17)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)44% (4/9)
Winners
522
Unforced Errors
2329
Net Points Won
70% (7/10)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
45% (25/55)67% (39/58)
Return Points Won
33% (19/58)55% (30/55)
Total Points Won
39% (44/113)61% (69/113)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
48.3%
Luciano Darderi
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.9)

    1.82
    (1.9)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roberto Carballes Baena will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 51. Darderi is ranked ATP: 57.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.75.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2