Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Janzen T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Aces
18
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
73%70%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (45/59)68% (48/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
64% (14/22)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
32% (23/71)24% (14/59)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (15/30)36% (8/22)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)100% (1/1)
Max Points In Row
96
Service Points Won
73% (59/81)62% (63/101)
Return Points Won
38% (38/101)27% (22/81)
Total Points Won
53% (97/182)47% (85/182)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
62.6%
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.33)

    2.55
    (2.95)
    4.4%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 57.7%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Moreno De Alboran is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Carballes Baena will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2