Roberto Carballes Baena vs Nuno Borges – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/04/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
67%46%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (38/60)77% (20/26)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (13/30)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
88% (15/17)20% (1/5)
Average 1st Serve Speed
174 km/h193 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
141 km/h154 km/h
1st Return Points Won
23% (6/26)37% (22/60)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)57% (17/30)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)12% (2/17)
Winners
1031
Unforced Errors
2248
Net Points Won
100% (3/3)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
57% (51/90)55% (31/56)
Return Points Won
45% (25/56)43% (39/90)
Total Points Won
52% (76/146)48% (70/146)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
46.4%
Nuno Borges
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.
  • Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.8)

    1.75
    (2)
    6.3%
    (5.8%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Nuno Borges?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Borges will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carballes Baena: 38.8%75.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Carballes Baena (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Borges (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 51. Borges is ranked ATP: 43.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Nuno Borges
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2