Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 66% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (28/51) | 69% (22/32) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 77% (10/13) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 5/10 | 1/3 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 45% (23/51) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 62% (16/26) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/3 | 5/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 79% (11/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (38/77) | 71% (32/45) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (13/45) | 51% (39/77) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (51/122) | 58% (71/122) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 78% (7/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 50% (5/10) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Roberto Carballes Baena
34.7% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
65.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.43) |
|
1.43 ↓
(1.48) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 165. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Carreno Busta might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Carreno Busta will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carballes Baena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
07.02.2026
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Roberto Carballes Baena
1:2
23.06.2024
Roberto Carballes Baena
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
2:1
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
