Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
112
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
56%55%
1st serve points won
75% (33/44)80% (35/44)
2nd serve points won
47% (16/34)53% (19/36)
Break Points Saved
40% (2/5)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
20% (9/44)25% (11/44)
2nd return points won
47% (17/36)53% (18/34)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)60% (3/5)
Winners
1728
Unforced errors
3527
Net points won
91% (10/11)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
63% (49/78)68% (54/80)
Return Points Won
33% (26/80)37% (29/78)
Total Points Won
47% (75/158)53% (83/158)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
77% (10/13)92% (12/13)
Return games won
8% (1/13)23% (3/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
61.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1% 29.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.36)

    2.43
    (2.89)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 100. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.
    • Carreno Busta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carballes Baena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
    23.06.2024 Roberto Carballes Baena - Pablo Carreno-Busta 2:1
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Fils A.2 : 0
    2Boogaard T. (LL)Wawrinka S. (WC)0 : 2
    3Pavlovic L. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    4Tsitsipas S.Rinderknech A. (8)2 : 0
    5Medvedev D. (4)Humbert U.1 : 2
    6Den Ouden G. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    7Royer V.O'Connell C. (Q)1 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Norrie C. (6)0 : 2
    9Khachanov K. (5)De Jong J.2 : 1
    10Budkov Kjaer N. (WC)Munar J.0 : 2
    11Grenier H. (Q)Struff J-L.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    13Griekspoor T. (7)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    14Halys Q.Rottgering M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Bergs Z.Medjedovic H. (LL)0 : 2
    16Popyrin A.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    3Humbert U.Den Ouden G.2 : 0
    4O'Connell C.Norrie C. (6)2 : 0
    5Khachanov K. (5)Munar J.1 : 2
    6Struff J-L.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    7Griekspoor T. (7)Halys Q.2 : 0
    8Medjedovic H.Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    2Humbert U.O'Connell C.2 : 0
    3Munar J.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    4Griekspoor T. (7)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1De Minaur A. (1)Humbert U.2 : 0
    2Bublik A. (3)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1De Minaur A. (1)Auger-Aliassime F. (2)2 : 0