Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rotterdam - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 56% | 55% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (33/44) | 80% (35/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (16/34) | 53% (19/36) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 80% (4/5) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 20% (9/44) | 25% (11/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 47% (17/36) | 53% (18/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 60% (3/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 56% (5/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (49/78) | 68% (54/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (26/80) | 37% (29/78) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (75/158) | 53% (83/158) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 92% (12/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 42% (11/26) | 58% (15/26) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta 61.5% | Roberto Carballes Baena 38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pablo Carreno-Busta's form might have worsened.Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.36) |
|
2.43 ↓ (2.89) |
6.9% (8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 100. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 175.
- Carreno Busta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carballes Baena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
23.06.2024
Roberto Carballes Baena
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
2:1
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Fils A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Boogaard T. (LL) | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Pavlovic L. (Q) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tsitsipas S. | Rinderknech A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (4) | Humbert U. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Den Ouden G. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Royer V. | O'Connell C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Bautista-Agut R. | Norrie C. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Khachanov K. (5) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Budkov Kjaer N. (WC) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Grenier H. (Q) | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Hurkacz H. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Halys Q. | Rottgering M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bergs Z. | Medjedovic H. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Popyrin A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Humbert U. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | O'Connell C. | Norrie C. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (5) | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Struff J-L. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Halys Q. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Medjedovic H. | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Humbert U. | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Munar J. | Bublik A. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Griekspoor T. (7) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Humbert U. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bublik A. (3) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | De Minaur A. (1) | Auger-Aliassime F. (2) | 2 : 0 |