Roberto Carballes Baena vs Roman Safiullin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin
Result
2:1
16/07/2024 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
68%66%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (47/71)64% (41/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)64% (21/33)
Break Points Saved
33% (2/6)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
39% (25/64)34% (24/71)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (20/33)35% (12/34)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)67% (4/6)
Winners
2136
Unforced Errors
321
Net Points Won
50% (7/14)64% (23/36)
Max Points In Row
76
Service Points Won
66% (69/105)59% (64/108)
Return Points Won
41% (44/108)34% (36/105)
Total Points Won
53% (113/213)47% (100/213)
Max Games In Row
33
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)75% (12/16)
Return Games Won
25% (4/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Roberto Carballes Baena
57.4%
Roman Safiullin
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Roman Safiullin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.68)

    2.24
    (2.18)
    4.9%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena - Roman Safiullin?
  • Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.66%98.76%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carballes Baena in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Safiullin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.83.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1