Result
1:2
20/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 76% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 82% (49/60) | 76% (51/67) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 33% (9/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/9 | 6/9 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (18/67) | 18% (11/60) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 67% (18/27) | 74% (14/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/9 | 3/9 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 51 | 18 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 42 | 16 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 90% (19/21) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (54/79) | 64% (60/94) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (34/94) | 32% (25/79) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (88/173) | 49% (85/173) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 79% (11/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 23% (3/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 52% (14/27) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Ofner
68.8% | Roberto Carballes Baena
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Ofner's performance.Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Carballes Baena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Ofner that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Carballes Baena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.48) |
|
3 ↑
(2.49) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Carballes Baena will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ofner: 82% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -5.5 Games - Ofner (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 Games - Ofner (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3.5 Games - Ofner (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 Games - Ofner (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 Sets - Ofner (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Carballes Baena (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ofner is ranked ATP: 86. Carballes Baena is ranked ATP: 165.
- Ofner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Carballes Baena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Carballes Baena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ofner might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Ofner will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Roberto Carballes Baena?
Sebastian Ofner has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roberto Carballes Baena won against Sebastian Ofner?
Roberto Carballes Baena has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Roberto Carballes Baena were as follows:
08.05.2025
Roberto Carballes Baena
-
Sebastian Ofner
Carballes Baena R. retired
09.01.2024
Roberto Carballes Baena
-
Sebastian Ofner
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Ofner
Latest results of Roberto Carballes Baena
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
