Robin Catry vs Karl Poling – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
06/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
80
Double Faults
104
1st serve percentage
55%69%
1st serve points won
75% (40/53)76% (53/70)
2nd serve points won
45% (20/44)55% (17/31)
Break Points Saved
2/64/5
1st return points won
24% (17/70)28% (15/53)
2nd return points won
45% (14/31)55% (24/44)
Break Points Converted
1/54/6
Winners
1716
Unforced errors
6845
Net points won
65% (11/17)76% (16/21)
Service Points Won
61% (59/96)69% (70/101)
Return Points Won
31% (31/101)39% (37/96)
Total Points Won
46% (90/197)54% (107/197)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
71% (10/14)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)29% (4/14)
Total games won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Robin Catry
52.7%
Karl Poling
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Robin Catry's form might have worsened.
  • Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karl Poling's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Robin Catry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karl Poling, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Robin Catry - Karl Poling Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.44)

    1.97
    (2.56)
    7.4%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Robin Catry - Karl Poling?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Catry will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Poling will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Catry is ranked ATP: 491. Poling is ranked ATP: 577.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Poling may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Robin Catry
    Latest results of Karl Poling
    05.04.2026 Karl Poling - Mateus Alves Alves M. Retired
    30.03.2026 Miguel Tobon - Karl Poling 2:1