Grosseto vs Siena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Marzierli E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 1, Lipari M. ,

Chances of winning


Grosseto
59.2%
Draw
25.5%
Siena
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.9% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 27% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grosseto's performance.
  • Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grosseto - Siena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (2.12)
    3.59
    (3.1)
    6.03
    (3.1)
    8.9%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).
    • Grosseto is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Siena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Grosseto is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Grosseto will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grosseto - Siena were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Grosseto - Siena 1:1
    22.12.2024 Siena - Grosseto 0:1
    Latest results of Grosseto
    02.11.2025 Scandicci - Grosseto 1:2
    26.10.2025 Grosseto - Poggibonsi 3:1
    19.10.2025 Orvietana - Grosseto 0:1
    Latest results of Siena
    09.11.2025 Foligno - Siena 3:1
    02.11.2025 Siena - Prato 0:0
    26.10.2025 Ghiviborgo - Siena 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto26202449:173262
    2Seravezza Pozzi26148435:191650
    3Tau26147541:221949
    4Siena26135834:201444
    5Terranuova Traiana26126822:22042
    6Prato26134935:26941
    7Foligno26117838:31740
    8Scandicci26812628:21736
    9Montevarchi26811723:29-635
    10Ghiviborgo2689938:34433
    11Trestina26961130:31-133
    12San Donato26612823:28-530
    13Camaiore26851333:42-929
    14Orvietana26771227:31-428
    15Follonica Gavorrano26771229:41-1228
    16Poggibonsi26651521:37-1623
    17Vivi Altotevere262111314:35-2117
    18Cannara26361717:51-3415

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation