ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Lokeren – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren
Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 9
  • Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.38
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
513
Passes
76% (219/289)87% (461/528)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.241.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.071.19
Total shots
411
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
19
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
513
Touches in opposition box
1722
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
118
Passes
76% (219/289)87% (461/528)
Long passes
38% (20/53)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)75% (107/143)
Crosses
35% (8/23)7% (2/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.77
Throw-ins
2024
Fouls
811
Tackles
80% (12/15)80% (8/10)
Duels won
4938
Clearances
3321
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.190.07
Goals prevented
0.190.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Lloci M. 🟨,
  • 31', Kis K. 🟨,
  • 33', Camara D. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Soumare M. , Spegelaere A. (A),
  • 44', Boonen I. , Boujouh N. ,
  • 45', Spago E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kis K. , Ndedi Kegne K. J. ,
  • 46', Spago E. , Medfai M. ,
  • 47', Brebels S. 🟨,
  • 63', Ferrara L. , Florica L. ,
  • 63', Sarkic O. , Berberi R. ,
  • 73', Boere T. , Elejalde I. ,
  • 73', Camara D. , Dianganga J. ,
  • 78', Cachbach M. , Cisse M. ,
  • 85', Dianganga J. 🟨,
  • 87', Soumare M. , Van den Bergh R. ,

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
28.1%
Draw
25.6%
Lokeren
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 25.7% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 23.9% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Lokeren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokeren than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokeren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.92)
    3.62
    (3.6)
    2
    (2.17)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
    • ROCCM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lokeren has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lokeren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lokeren might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren were as follows:
    23.03.2024 Lokeren - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 2:1
    30.08.2023 ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lokeren 1:2
    Latest results of ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
    Latest results of Lokeren
    24.09.2025 Lokeren - Eupen 3:3
    21.09.2025 Beveren - Lokeren 1:0
    12.09.2025 Lokeren - Lierse 2:0
    30.08.2025 Lommel - Lokeren 3:1