Result
1:1
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Crewe Alexandra
36.1% | Draw
31.4% | Rochdale
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(1.91) |
3 ↓
(3.4) |
2.87 ↓
(3.9) |
6.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 8% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- Crewe has the most likely position - 19 (16.02%), has project points - 53, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (67.9%), has project points - 34, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- This event has very small quality 6, small importance 15, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
- Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Rochdale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-19.
- Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Rochdale?
Crewe Alexandra has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rochdale won against Crewe Alexandra?
Rochdale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale were as follows:
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
Latest results of Rochdale
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Gillingham | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Salford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Walsall | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 7 | Bromley | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Crewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 13 |
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | MK Dons | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 14 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 15 | Barnet | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | Harrogate | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Crawley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Colchester | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 20 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 22 | Newport | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
