Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale
Result
1:1
25/02/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
36.1%
Draw
31.4%
Rochdale
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 27.4% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 24.7% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
  • Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rochdale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rochdale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (1.91)
    3
    (3.4)
    2.87
    (3.9)
    6.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Rochdale?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 8%64.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 18 and 24 in the zone Relegation).
    • Crewe has the most likely position - 19 (16.02%), has project points - 53, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (67.9%), has project points - 34, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • This event has very small quality 6, small importance 15, small match rating 11. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.
    • Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Rochdale has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-19.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Rochdale
    18.02.2023 Rochdale - Gillingham 0:2
    14.02.2023 Leyton Orient - Rochdale 2:1
    04.02.2023 Salford City - Rochdale 2:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League