Rochester Americans vs Belleville Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
1:3
04/02/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2225
Shooting PCT
4.55% (1/22)12% (3/25)
Goalkeeper Saves
2221
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)95.45% (21/22)
Penalties
41
PIM
82
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:54, 0 - 1, Thomson L. (G), Donovan J. (A), Boucher T. (A2)
  • 09:57, 1 - 1, Meyer C. (G), Novikov N. (A), Bayreuther G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 14:15, 1 - 2, Jenik J. (G),
  • 19:18, 1 - 3, Washkurak K. (G), Pettersson O. (A),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
44.4%		Draw
22.4%		Belleville Senators
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 20.7% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 21.5% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Belleville Senators aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.09 ↑
    (1.91)    		 4.08 ↓
    (4.37)    		 2.76 ↓
    (2.83)    		 8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Belleville has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:60. (average 3.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.4:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:4
    11.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:6
    19.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 3:2
    10.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 1:6
    12.11.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 4:6
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    30.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 3:1
    28.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 1:3
    24.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters 1:2
    23.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Utica Comets 3:0
    19.01.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans 3:2
    Latest results of Belleville Senators
    31.01.2026 Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators 6:5
    30.01.2026 Cleveland Monsters - Belleville Senators 6:5
    24.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators 0:1 ✺
    23.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Belleville Senators 2:1
    21.01.2026 Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Belleville Senators 2:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 65356816212:17090
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms65199631192:22162
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles643081016212:16786
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers661191432179:24754
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters652013725190:20273
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Utica Comets64214930172:20259
    7Belleville Senators65196931203:23459

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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