Rochester Americans vs Belleville Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
04/02/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2225
Shooting PCT
4.55% (1/22)12% (3/25)
Goalkeeper Saves
2221
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)95.45% (21/22)
Penalties
41
PIM
82
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (1/1)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:54, 0 - 1, Thomson L. (G), Donovan J. (A), Boucher T. (A2)
  • 09:57, 1 - 1, Meyer C. (G), Novikov N. (A), Bayreuther G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 14:15, 1 - 2, Jenik J. (G),
  • 19:18, 1 - 3, Washkurak K. (G), Pettersson O. (A),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
44.4%
Draw
22.4%
Belleville Senators
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 20.7% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 21.5% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Belleville Senators aligns with the current prediction.
  • Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.91)
    4.08
    (4.37)
    2.76
    (2.83)
    8.7%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Belleville has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:60. (average 3.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:32. (average 3.4:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators were as follows:
    16.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:4
    11.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 5:6
    19.12.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 3:2
    10.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans 1:6
    12.11.2025 Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators 4:6
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )