Result
0:1
15/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 6
- Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/444) | 81% (324/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (377/444) | 81% (324/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 41% (24/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/102) | 73% (80/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 67% (18/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Muller J. P. 🟨,
- 38', Abed T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Thomas A. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 1, van den Hurk A. (Pen),
- 68', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Schwirten J. ↑,
- 68', Paulissen M. ↓, Griffith I. ↑,
- 68', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
- 74', Sidibe S. ↓, Bawuah J. ↑,
- 74', Fernandez N. ↓, Koller J. ↑,
- 78', Breij M. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 81', Bresser M. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
- 81', van de Riet R. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 89', van den Berg J. ↓, Verkooijen N. ↑,
- 90+1', Seedorf C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong PSV 36.3% | Draw 24.8% | Roda 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Jong PSV - Roda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.55 ↓ (2.58) |
3.73 ↓ (3.83) |
2.43 (2.43) |
7.3% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong PSV - Roda?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Roda will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong PSV: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jong PSV (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
- Jong PSV is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Roda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Kuhn W.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Roda: Maiorano L.
(Red Card)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Roda?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Jong PSV?
Roda has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong PSV - Roda were as follows:
18.07.2025
Jong PSV
-
Roda
1:1
07.03.2025
Roda
-
Jong PSV
2:1
09.12.2024
Jong PSV
-
Roda
2:3
01.04.2024
Jong PSV
-
Roda
2:3
08.12.2023
Roda
-
Jong PSV
2:1
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:16 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Waalwijk | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 6 | Willem II | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
| 7 | Den Bosch | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 20 |
| 8 | Dordrecht | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 9 | Venlo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | De Graafschap | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Helmond | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:21 | -5 | 15 |
| 14 | Maastricht | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 | Jong AZ | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:24 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Oss | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18:24 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Almere City | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 11 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 8 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )