Roda vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 30
  • Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.861.72
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
33
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
23
Passes
80% (313/389)82% (395/480)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.861.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.70
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
47
Shots inside the box
109
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
2727
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
912
Passes
80% (313/389)82% (395/480)
Long passes
29% (14/48)49% (33/68)
Passes in final third
56% (52/93)68% (85/125)
Crosses
13% (2/15)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.02
Throw ins
3222
Fouls
129
Tackles
59% (10/17)65% (15/23)
Duels won
5458
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.701.36
Goals prevented
-0.301.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Bouhoudane S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Griffith I. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 56', Koller J. , Bahaty M. ,
  • 56', Kuhn W. , van de Riet R. ,
  • 58', Cooper-Love J. , Paulissen M. ,
  • 58', Breij M. , Seedorf C. ,
  • 65', Jansen K. , El Meliani R. ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Kluit F. , Bahaty M. (A),
  • 72', Muller J. P. , Wiedesheim-Paul R. ,
  • 78', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,
  • 89', Bouhoudane S. , Jones A. ,
  • 89', Kluit F. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 90+1', Bahaty M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roda
63.6%
Draw
18.8%
Jong PSV
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 19.3% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 18.9% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Roda aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Roda - Jong PSV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.5)
    4.9
    (4.83)
    5.3
    (5.08)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Roda - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.6%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Jong PSV (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.25 - Jong PSV (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Roda will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 40%). Jong PSV (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4.
    • Roda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Jong PSV has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Roda is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Jong PSV were as follows:
    15.09.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 0:1
    18.07.2025 Jong PSV - Roda 1:1
    07.03.2025 Roda - Jong PSV 2:1
    09.12.2024 Jong PSV - Roda 2:3
    01.04.2024 Jong PSV - Roda 2:3
    Latest results of Roda
    27.02.2026 Den Bosch - Roda 2:2
    22.02.2026 Roda - MVV Maastricht 2:0
    13.02.2026 Waalwijk - Roda 1:2
    06.02.2026 Roda - ADO Den Haag 0:3
    30.01.2026 Almere City - Roda 1:2
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    27.02.2026 Jong PSV - Dordrecht 1:1
    20.02.2026 Emmen - Jong PSV 2:3
    13.02.2026 Jong PSV - De Graafschap 1:2
    09.02.2026 Jong PSV - FC Oss 2:0
    06.02.2026 MVV Maastricht - Jong PSV 2:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 33252674:324277
    2Cambuur32217466:372970
    3Willem II32158950:381253
    4De Graafschap321571059:51852
    5Almere City331641368:531552
    6Jong PSV331551362:58450
    7Waalwijk331391156:50648
    8Roda331212951:48348
    9Den Bosch331371358:59-146
    10Dordrecht3311101244:46-243
    11Eindhoven FC321241646:57-1140
    12Jong Utrecht331091451:55-439
    13Venlo331151741:51-1038
    14FC Emmen311071448:56-837
    15Vitesse331391151:49236
    16Maastricht33991539:66-2736
    17Jong AZ331041957:66-934
    18Helmond33971738:57-1934
    19Jong Ajax33881745:59-1432
    20Oss337111541:57-1632

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie