Result
0:2
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 30
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 82% (395/480) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (313/389) | 82% (395/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (14/48) | 49% (33/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (52/93) | 68% (85/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Bouhoudane S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Griffith I. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 56', Koller J. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
- 56', Kuhn W. ↓, van de Riet R. ↑,
- 58', Cooper-Love J. ↓, Paulissen M. ↑,
- 58', Breij M. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
- 65', Jansen K. ↓, El Meliani R. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Kluit F. ⚽, Bahaty M. (A),
- 72', Muller J. P. ↓, Wiedesheim-Paul R. ↑,
- 78', Kalinauskas T. 🟨,
- 89', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 89', Kluit F. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 90+1', Bahaty M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Roda
63.6% | Draw
18.8% | Jong PSV
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Roda aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Roda - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
4.9 ↑
(4.83) |
5.3 ↑
(5.08) |
7.4%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Roda - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Roda will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roda: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Jong PSV (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Jong PSV (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roda will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Roda (votes: 2 - 40%). Jong PSV (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roda won 4.
- Roda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong PSV has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Roda is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Roda: Kother T.
(Knee Injury)
Schwirten J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Roda won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roda won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Roda won against Jong PSV?
Roda has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Roda?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roda - Jong PSV were as follows:
15.09.2025
Jong PSV
-
Roda
0:1
18.07.2025
Jong PSV
-
Roda
1:1
07.03.2025
Roda
-
Jong PSV
2:1
09.12.2024
Jong PSV
-
Roda
2:3
01.04.2024
Jong PSV
-
Roda
2:3
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
