Result
1:3
05/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FNL - Round 27
- Referee: Gusakov O. (Rus)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', Timoshenko I. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Timoshenko I. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Reyna Y. ⚽,
- 33', Churikov I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 56', Kireenko P. ↓, Lazarev V. ↑,
- 61', Sinyak A. ↓, Gurtsiev B. ↑,
- 61', Shpitalnyi V. ↓, Golijanin A. ↑,
- 61', Churikov I. ↓, Poyarkov N. ↑,
- 67', Butaev A. ↓, Kahrimanovic A. ↑,
- 71', Timoshenko I. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
- 72', Egorychev A. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
- 78', Maksimenko A. ↓, Bessmertniy S. ↑,
- 79', Reyna Y. ↓, Koryan A. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 3, Koryan A. ⚽,
- 90+1', Sasin D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Golijanin A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sokol Saratov 16.4% | Draw 26.1% | Rodina Moscow 57.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodina Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rodina Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.79 ↓ (7.63) |
3.65 ↓ (3.96) |
1.66 ↑ (1.49) |
5.1% (5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodina (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 0.
- Sokol Saratov is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rodina is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Rodina is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Rodina will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sokol Saratov won against Rodina Moscow?
Sokol Saratov has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodina Moscow won against Sokol Saratov?
Rodina Moscow has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow were as follows:
29.09.2025
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
2:0
13.04.2025
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:2
09.09.2024
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
2:0
07.04.2024
Sokol Saratov
-
Rodina Moscow
1:1
16.07.2023
Rodina Moscow
-
Sokol Saratov
4:0
Latest results of Sokol Saratov
Latest results of Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fakel Voronezh | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 64 |
| 2 | Rodina Moscow | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 52:27 | 25 | 62 |
| 3 | Ural | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 48:28 | 20 | 58 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 40:23 | 17 | 52 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 46:31 | 15 | 49 |
| 6 | S. Kostroma | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 45:39 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Yenisey | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 36:34 | 2 | 46 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Chelyabinsk | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
| 10 | Torpedo Moscow | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Arsenal Tula | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 38 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 14 | SKA Khabarovsk | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 32:45 | -13 | 35 |
| 15 | Ufa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 31 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | FK Chayka | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 30:69 | -39 | 22 |
| 18 | Saratov | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 14:43 | -29 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Relegation