Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez vs Marco Trungelliti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Heilbronn Challenger Men Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti
Result
1:2
06/06/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Heilbronn, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
66%67%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (34/45)67% (39/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (9/23)45% (13/29)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
34% (20/58)27% (12/45)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (16/29)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
63% (42/67)60% (52/87)
Return Points Won
40% (35/87)37% (25/67)
Total Points Won
50% (77/154)50% (77/154)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
32.8%
Marco Trungelliti
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40% 60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez's form might have worsened.
  • Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco Trungelliti's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.32)

    1.39
    (1.55)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marco Trungelliti?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pacheco Mendez will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 64.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marco Trungelliti will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pacheco Mendez is ranked ATP: 266. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 177.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Trungelliti will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nardi L. (1)Rincon D.1 : 2
    2Engel J. (WC)Mena F.0 : 2
    3Stricker D.Vatutin A. (Q)2 : 0
    4Topo M. (Q)Pellegrino A. (8)2 : 0
    5Moller E. (3)Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    6Onclin G.Maestrelli F. (LL)2 : 1
    7Dedura D. (WC)Squire H. (Q)2 : 0
    8Sharipov M.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    9Nagal S. (7)Gentzsch T. (WC)2 : 0
    10Martin Tiffon P.Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    11Trungelliti M.Choinski J.2 : 1
    12Wiskandt M. (Q)Royer V. (4)1 : 2
    13Passaro F. (6)Broska F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Houkes M.Durasovic V.0 : 2
    15Skatov T.Buse I.0 : 2
    16Yevseyev D.Carreno-Busta P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Rincon D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Stricker D. (RET.)Topo M.1 : 1
    3Den Ouden G.Onclin G.2 : 0
    4Dedura D.Nava E. (5)0 : 2
    5Nagal S. (7)Pacheco Mendez R.1 : 2
    6Trungelliti M.Royer V. (4)2 : 1
    7Passaro F. (6)Durasovic V.2 : 0
    8Buse I.Yevseyev D.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Topo M.1 : 2
    2Den Ouden G.Nava E. (5)2 : 0
    3Pacheco Mendez R.Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    4Passaro F. (6)Buse I.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Topo M.Den Ouden G.0 : 2
    2Trungelliti M.Buse I.0 : 2

    Final
    1Den Ouden G.Buse I.0 : 2