Roma vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Roma
40.9%
Draw
28.9%
Atalanta
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 27.8% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 28.8% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Roma - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.17)
    3.29
    (3.42)
    3.19
    (3.34)
    4.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Atalanta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Roma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Atalanta were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Atalanta - Roma 1:0
    12.05.2025 Atalanta - Roma 2:1
    02.12.2024 Roma - Atalanta 0:2
    12.05.2024 Atalanta - Roma 2:1
    07.01.2024 Roma - Atalanta 1:1
    Latest results of Roma
    10.04.2026 Roma - Pisa 3:0
    05.04.2026 Inter Milan - Roma 5:2
    22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0
    19.03.2026 Roma - Bologna 3:4
    15.03.2026 Como - Roma 2:1
    Latest results of Atalanta
    11.04.2026 Atalanta - Juventus 0:1
    06.04.2026 Lecce - Atalanta 0:3
    22.03.2026 Atalanta - Verona 1:0
    18.03.2026 Bayern Munich - Atalanta 4:1
    14.03.2026 Inter Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter32243575:294675
    2Napoli32206648:311766
    3AC Milan32189547:272063
    4Juventus32179655:292660
    5Como321610656:263058
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta321411744:281653
    8Bologna321461242:37548
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Udinese321271338:42-443
    11Sassuolo321261439:43-442
    12Torino321161537:54-1739
    13Genoa32991438:45-736
    14Parma328121223:40-1736
    15Cagliari32891533:44-1133
    16Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    17Cremonese32691726:47-2127
    18Lecce32761921:45-2427
    19Verona32392023:55-3218
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B