Result
2:1
12/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 36
- Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Optus Sport |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
Hungary | Arena 4, Net4+ |
India | GXR World |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | ART Sport 1 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Maldives | ICE Sports, Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-america | ESPN 2 South |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Turkey | Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+ |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
United-arab-emirates | Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.40 | 0.58 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
81% (378/464) | 74% (259/350) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.40 | 0.58 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.19 | 1.03 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
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29 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 14 |
Passes |
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81% (378/464) | 74% (259/350) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (23/45) | 27% (17/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (98/135) | 63% (72/115) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (7/27) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
90% (9/10) | 83% (10/12) |
Duels won |
---|
61 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.03 | 1.19 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.03 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 68', Pasalic M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
- 68', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Sulemana I. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
- 76', Rensch D. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
- 82', Bellanova R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
- 85', Shomurodov E. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
- 85', Kone M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
- 86', Dovbyk A. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
- 88', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
- 88', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
- 90', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atalanta 43.8% | Draw 28.1% | Roma 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atalanta - Roma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (1.89) |
3.41 ↓ (3.69) |
3.4 ↓ (4.08) |
4.4% (4.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Roma?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 28 - 49.1%). Roma will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 36.1% – 62.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 4 - 50%). Roma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Roma (votes: 5 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
- DC - Roma (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Atalanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J.
(Injury)
Hien I.
(Yellow Cards)
Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
Palestra M.
(Muscle Injury)
Scalvini G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Scamacca G.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Roma: Buba Aboubacar
(Injury)
Dybala P.
(Thigh Injury)
Pellegrini Lo.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Kossounou O.
(Injury)
Lookman A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Roma?
Atalanta has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Atalanta?
Roma has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Roma were as follows:
02.12.2024
Roma
-
Atalanta
0:2
12.05.2024
Atalanta
-
Roma
2:1
07.01.2024
Roma
-
Atalanta
1:1
24.04.2023
Atalanta
-
Roma
3:1
18.09.2022
Roma
-
Atalanta
0:1
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Genoa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Udinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Inter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Cagliari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B