Atalanta vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Atalanta - Roma
Result
2:1
12/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 36
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.58
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
87
Passes
81% (378/464)74% (259/350)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.400.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.191.03
Total shots
1610
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
87
Touches in opposition box
2913
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
81% (378/464)74% (259/350)
Long passes
51% (23/45)27% (17/62)
Passes in final third
73% (98/135)63% (72/115)
Crosses
26% (7/27)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.48
Throw-ins
1716
Fouls
1414
Tackles
90% (9/10)83% (10/12)
Duels won
6157
Clearances
3027
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.031.19
Goals prevented
0.03-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Cristante B. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Pasalic M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
  • 68', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Sulemana I. ⚽, Samardzic L. (A),
  • 76', Rensch D. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
  • 82', Bellanova R. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
  • 85', Shomurodov E. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
  • 85', Kone M. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
  • 86', Dovbyk A. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
  • 88', Lookman A. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
  • 88', Retegui M. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
  • 90', Djimsiti B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
43.8%		Draw
28.1%		Roma
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 25.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 26.6% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atalanta's form might have worsened.
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atalanta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Atalanta - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.19 ↑
    (1.89)    		 3.41 ↓
    (3.69)    		 3.4 ↓
    (4.08)    		 4.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Atalanta - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 28 - 49.1%). Roma will win (votes: 13 - 22.8%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 28.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 36.1% – 62.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 4 - 50%). Roma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Roma (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • DC - Roma (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 4.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Atalanta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Cuadrado J. (Injury) Hien I. (Yellow Cards) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Palestra M. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Buba Aboubacar (Injury) Dybala P. (Thigh Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Kossounou O. (Injury) Lookman A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Roma were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Roma - Atalanta 0:2
    12.05.2024 Atalanta - Roma 2:1
    07.01.2024 Roma - Atalanta 1:1
    24.04.2023 Atalanta - Roma 3:1
    18.09.2022 Roma - Atalanta 0:1
    Latest results of Atalanta
    04.05.2025 Monza - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Milan - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Roma
    04.05.2025 Roma - Fiorentina 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Inter Milan - Roma 0:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Roma - Verona 1:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Lazio - Roma 1:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Roma - Juventus 1:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli11002:023
    2Como11002:023
    3Cremonese11002:113
    4AS Roma11001:013
    5Fiorentina10101:101
    6Cagliari10101:101
    7Lecce10100:001
    8Genoa10100:001
    9Pisa00000:000
    10Udinese00000:000
    11Inter00000:000
    12Juventus00000:000
    13Atalanta00000:000
    14Torino00000:000
    15Parma00000:000
    16Verona00000:000
    17AC Milan10011:2-10
    18Bologna10010:1-10
    19Sassuolo10010:2-20
    20Lazio10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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