Athletic Bilbao vs Roma: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio San Mamés (Bilbao).

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.02
Ball Possession
70%	30%
Goal Attempts
23	5
Shots on Goal
8	2
Shots off Goal
9	2
Blocked Shots
6	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
9	2
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
Free Kicks
4	11
Offsides
1	2
Fouls
11	4
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
17	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
45	10
Passes
91% (533/588)	69% (180/262)
Passes in the final third
84% (202/241)	52% (36/69)
Crosses
18% (8/45)	20% (1/5)
Tackles
64% (9/14)	59% (10/17)
Clearances Total
12	38
Interceptions
9	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Hummels M. 🟥,
12', Svilar M. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomez U. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
53', Dovbyk A. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
60', Rensch D. 🟨,
61', Dybala P. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
61', Baldanzi T. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Berchiche Y. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
68', Paredes A. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
71', Williams I. 🟨,
71', Paredes L. 🟨,
77', Sannadi M. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
83', Rensch D. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
83', Cristante B. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
88', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
88', Williams I. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
90+1', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
90:00, Soule M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletic Bilbao
49.3%

Draw
27%

Roma
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

29.4%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3%)

Athletic Bilbao - Roma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	4% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Roma?

Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (43 of 52 users predict this - 82.69%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.41% – 92.97%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
Recent matches Athletic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Roma is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recently Roma have a series of home games.
In this match Athletic is a favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Red Card) Vivian D. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Celik Z. (Thigh Injury) Gourna-Douath L. (Inactive) Marin R. (Injury) Salah-Eddine A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Roma?

Athletic Bilbao has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Athletic Bilbao?

Roma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Roma were as follows:

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1

26.09.2024 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 1:1

Latest results of Athletic Bilbao

09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid 7:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Roma

09.03.2025 Empoli - Roma 0:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺

20.02.2025 Roma - Porto 3:2 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Lugano	Bye
2	Paks	CFR Cluj
3	Sabah Baku	Celje
4	AEK Larnaca	Partizan
5	Levski Sofia	H. Beer Sheva
6	Bye	Braga
7	Ostrava	Bye
8	Legia	Aktobe
9	Anderlecht	Bye
10	Trnava	Hacken
11	Sheriff Tiraspol	Prishtina
12	Bye	Utrecht
13	Midtjylland	Bye
14	Bye	Hibernian
15	Besiktas	Bye
16	Shakhtar Donetsk	Ilves

Quarter-finals

1	Lugano	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	Braga
4	Ostrava	TBD #8
5	Anderlecht	TBD #10
6	TBD #11	Utrecht
7	Midtjylland	Hibernian
8	Besiktas	TBD #16

Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Roma?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 2, VOOsport World 1, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Claro Sports, ESPN
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Canal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App