Athletic Bilbao vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Football UEFA Europa League Athletic Bilbao - Roma
Result
3:1
13/03/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 2, VOOsport World 1, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 5, New World TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoClaro Sports, ESPN
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, Sporza, Ziggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 3, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 4
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdombeIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.02
Ball Possession
70%30%
Goal Attempts
235
Shots on Goal
82
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
92
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
411
Offsides
12
Fouls
114
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
1717
Touches in the Opposition Box
4510
Passes
91% (533/588)69% (180/262)
Passes in the final third
84% (202/241)52% (36/69)
Crosses
18% (8/45)20% (1/5)
Tackles
64% (9/14)59% (10/17)
Clearances Total
1238
Interceptions
99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Hummels M. 🟥,
  • 12', Svilar M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Williams N. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gomez U. ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
  • 53', Dovbyk A. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
  • 60', Rensch D. 🟨,
  • 61', Dybala P. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
  • 61', Baldanzi T. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Berchiche Y. ⚽, Berenguer A. (A),
  • 68', Paredes A. ↓, Lekue I. ↑,
  • 71', Williams I. 🟨,
  • 71', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 77', Sannadi M. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Williams N. ⚽, Berchiche Y. (A),
  • 83', Rensch D. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
  • 83', Cristante B. ↓, Saelemaekers A. ↑,
  • 88', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
  • 88', Williams I. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Paredes L. (Pen),
  • 90:00, Soule M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
49.3%		Draw
27%		Roma
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.7% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 29.4% 20.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Athletic Bilbao - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.95 ↑
    (1.89)    		 3.56 ↓
    (3.58)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.2)    		 4%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: Athletic Bilbao will win (43 of 52 users predict this - 82.69%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.41% – 92.97%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Recent matches Athletic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Roma is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recently Roma have a series of home games.
    • In this match Athletic is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Red Card) Vivian D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Celik Z. (Thigh Injury) Gourna-Douath L. (Inactive) Marin R. (Injury) Salah-Eddine A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Djalo A. (Ankle Injury) Sancet O. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Athletic won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Roma were as follows:
    06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1
    26.09.2024 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Valladolid 7:1 ✺
    16.02.2025 Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Roma
    09.03.2025 Empoli - Roma 0:1 ✺
    06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1 ✺
    24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺
    20.02.2025 Roma - Porto 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv0 : 1, 3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets1 : 4, 2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys2 : 3, 0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc2 : 0, 3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor0 : 0, 2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB0 : 3, 2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk2 : 1, 1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS2 : 0, 4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga1 : 5, 0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 0, 0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca4 : 0, 2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK0 : 5, 1 : 0
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