Roma vs Genoa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Roma - Genoa
Result
3:1
17/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 21
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
Roma - Genoa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.50
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
73
Shots off Goal
73
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
1212
Offsides
01
Fouls
1212
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
818
Touches in the Opposition Box
2213
Passes
89% (457/515)84% (384/459)
Passes in the final third
71% (70/98)56% (31/55)
Crosses
33% (5/15)44% (4/9)
Tackles
50% (7/14)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
1017
Interceptions
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', Vasquez J. 🟨,
  • 25', 1 - 0, Dovbyk A. ⚽,
  • 32', Bani M. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Masini P. ⚽, Miretti F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
  • 56', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 1, El Shaarawy S. ⚽, Dybala P. (A),
  • 68', Thorsby M. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
  • 68', Zanoli A. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
  • 73', 3 - 1, Leali N. (Own goal),
  • 76', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Celik Z. ↑,
  • 76', Hummels M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
  • 85', Dybala P. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
  • 85', Dovbyk A. ↓, Soule M. ↑,
  • 85', Miretti F. ↓, Kasa L. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Roma
64.1%		Draw
22.6%		Genoa
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 23.4% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 22.8% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
    •

    Roma - Genoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.49 ↓
    (1.6)    		 4.23 ↑
    (4.08)    		 7.23 ↑
    (5.61)    		 4.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Roma - Genoa?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 54 - 77.1%). Genoa will win (votes: 9 - 12.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 67.3% – 86.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma won 2.
    • Roma is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Genoa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Roma is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Genoa: Ahanor H. (Knee Injury) Badelj M. (Injury) Malinovsky R. (Ankle Injury) Vitinha (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Cristante B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Genoa: Norton-Cuffy B. (Thigh Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Roma to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Roma won 14 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35:19 (average 1.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Roma won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18:8 (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roma - Genoa were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Genoa - Roma 1:1
    19.05.2024 Roma - Genoa 1:0
    28.09.2023 Genoa - Roma 4:1
    12.01.2023 Roma - Genoa 1:0
    Latest results of Roma
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2 ✺
    05.01.2025 Roma - Lazio 2:0 ✺
    29.12.2024 Milan - Roma 1:1 ✺
    22.12.2024 Roma - Parma 5:0 ✺
    18.12.2024 Roma - Sampdoria 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Genoa
    12.01.2025 Genoa - Parma 1:0 ✺
    05.01.2025 Lecce - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    28.12.2024 Empoli - Genoa 1:2 ✺
    21.12.2024 Genoa - Napoli 1:2 ✺
    15.12.2024 Milan - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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