Real Sociedad vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad - Roma
Result
0:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
46.8%
Draw
29.7%
Roma
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.2% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Sociedad - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.23)
    3.21
    (3.28)
    4.08
    (3.23)
    4.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Roma will win (votes: 16 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.4%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real Sociedad has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a small chance of qtrs (13%), a small chance of semis (6%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Roma has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (87%), a chance of semis (43%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (9%).
    • This event has big quality 73, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Real Sociedad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Roma have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Belotti A. (Wrist Injury) Llorente D. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Head Injury) Solbakken O. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Roma were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    12.03.2023 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 1:1
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    03.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Cádiz 0:0
    25.02.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0
    Latest results of Roma
    12.03.2023 Roma - Sassuolo 3:4
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    05.03.2023 Roma - Juventus 1:0
    28.02.2023 Cremonese - Roma 2:1
    23.02.2023 Roma - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    24ByeYoung Boys
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ByeYoung Boys
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    6ByeYoung Boys
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland
    16RFSKuPS
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    18CFR ClujBraga
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik
    20ServetteUtrecht
    21HackenBrann
    22AEK LarnacaLegia
    23RijekaShelbourne
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye
    3ByeYoung Boys
    4ByeSigma Olomouc
    5TBD #9Samsunspor
    6AberdeenTBD #12
    7ByeGenk
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24