Real Sociedad vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad - Roma
Result
0:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
46.8%
Draw
29.7%
Roma
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.2% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Sociedad - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.23)
    3.21
    (3.28)
    4.08
    (3.23)
    4.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Roma will win (votes: 16 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.4%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real Sociedad has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a small chance of qtrs (13%), a small chance of semis (6%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Roma has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (87%), a chance of semis (43%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (9%).
    • This event has big quality 73, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Real Sociedad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Roma have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Belotti A. (Wrist Injury) Llorente D. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Head Injury) Solbakken O. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Roma were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    12.03.2023 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 1:1
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    03.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Cádiz 0:0
    25.02.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0
    Latest results of Roma
    12.03.2023 Roma - Sassuolo 3:4
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    05.03.2023 Roma - Juventus 1:0
    28.02.2023 Cremonese - Roma 2:1
    23.02.2023 Roma - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0