Real Sociedad vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League Real Sociedad - Roma
Result
0:0
16/03/2023 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Chances of winning


Real Sociedad
46.8%
Draw
29.7%
Roma
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 28.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 29.2% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Sociedad - Roma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.23)
    3.2
    (3.28)
    4.1
    (3.23)
    4.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Roma?
  • Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Roma will win (votes: 16 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 46.4%70%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Real Sociedad has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a small chance of qtrs (13%), a small chance of semis (6%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
    • Roma has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (87%), a chance of semis (43%), a chance of final (20%), a small chance of win league (9%).
    • This event has big quality 73, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Real Sociedad is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Roma have a series of home games.
    • In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Real Sociedad: Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Roma: Belotti A. (Wrist Injury) Llorente D. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrini Lo. (Head Injury) Solbakken O. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Roma were as follows:
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    Latest results of Real Sociedad
    12.03.2023 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 1:1
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    03.03.2023 Real Sociedad - Cádiz 0:0
    25.02.2023 Valencia - Real Sociedad 1:0
    Latest results of Roma
    12.03.2023 Roma - Sassuolo 3:4
    09.03.2023 Roma - Real Sociedad 2:0
    05.03.2023 Roma - Juventus 1:0
    28.02.2023 Cremonese - Roma 2:1
    23.02.2023 Roma - Red Bull Salzburg 2:0
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)