Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
16
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
73%66%
1st serve points won
53% (41/77)70% (50/71)
2nd serve points won
68% (19/28)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
11/169/12
1st return points won
30% (21/71)47% (36/77)
2nd return points won
57% (21/37)32% (9/28)
Break Points Converted
3/125/16
Winners
2334
Unforced errors
4449
Net points won
82% (9/11)78% (21/27)
Service Points Won
57% (60/106)61% (66/108)
Return Points Won
39% (42/108)43% (46/106)
Total Points Won
48% (102/214)52% (112/214)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
03
Service games won
64% (9/14)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)36% (5/14)
Total games won
43% (12/28)57% (16/28)

Chances of winning


Roman Andres Burruchaga
34.1%
Tommy Paul
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30% 70%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tommy Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.81)

    1.45
    (1.4)
    4.6%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tommy Paul?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Burruchaga will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Paul will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 77. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Burruchaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Paul will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tommy Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)1 : 2