Jan Choinski vs Roman Safiullin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
26/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
55%43%
1st serve points won
54% (13/24)70% (16/23)
2nd serve points won
45% (9/20)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
2/62/3
1st return points won
30% (7/23)50% (12/24)
2nd return points won
39% (12/31)55% (11/20)
Break Points Converted
1/34/6
Service Points Won
50% (22/44)65% (35/54)
Return Points Won
35% (19/54)50% (22/44)
Total Points Won
42% (41/98)58% (57/98)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Jan Choinski
58.5%
Roman Safiullin
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9% 40.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.49)

    2.26
    (2.47)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Safiullin will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Choinski is ranked ATP: 123. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jan Choinski - Roman Safiullin were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Roman Safiullin - Jan Choinski 1:2
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2