Roman Safiullin vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
28/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
61
1st serve percentage
55%71%
1st serve points won
60% (25/42)63% (29/46)
2nd serve points won
44% (15/34)53% (10/19)
Break Points Saved
4/93/6
1st return points won
37% (17/46)40% (17/42)
2nd return points won
47% (9/19)56% (19/34)
Break Points Converted
3/65/9
Winners
1612
Unforced errors
4933
Net points won
100% (8/8)69% (9/13)
Service Points Won
53% (40/76)60% (39/65)
Return Points Won
40% (26/65)47% (36/76)
Total Points Won
47% (66/141)53% (75/141)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
30
Service games won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total games won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Roman Safiullin
42.4%
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9% 66.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Llamas Ruiz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Roman Safiullin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.3)

    1.63
    (1.55)
    6.7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Roman Safiullin - Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Safiullin (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Safiullin is ranked ATP: 216. Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191.
    • Safiullin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Llamas Ruiz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Llamas Ruiz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Llamas Ruiz might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Skatov T.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Moro Canas A.1 : 2
    3Gakhov I. (RET.)Harris L.0 : 1
    4Cecchinato M.Lajovic D. (8)2 : 0
    5Martinez P. (4)Sanchez Jover C. (WC)2 : 0
    6Bertola R.Hassan B. (LL)2 : 0
    7Sanchez Quilez A. (Q)Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)2 : 0
    8Gulin S. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (5)0 : 2
    9Choinski J. (7)Pereira T. (Q)2 : 0
    10Safiullin R.Bailly G. A.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Houkes M.1 : 2
    12Shelbayh A. (LL)Gaubas V. (3)1 : 2
    13Ivashka I. (Q)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    14Blanch D. (Q)Engel J.2 : 0
    15Butvilas E.Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    16Pieri S. (Q)De Jong J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    2Harris L.Cecchinato M.0 : 2
    3Martinez P. (4)Bertola R.2 : 1
    4Sanchez Quilez A.Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    5Choinski J. (7)Safiullin R.0 : 2
    6Houkes M.Gaubas V. (3)2 : 1
    7Llamas Ruiz P.Blanch D.2 : 0
    8Butvilas E.De Jong J. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Martinez P. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    3Safiullin R.Houkes M.2 : 0
    4Llamas Ruiz P.Butvilas E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ofner S. (1)Carreno-Busta P. (5)1 : 2
    2Safiullin R.Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2

    Final
    1Carreno-Busta P. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2