Roman Safiullin vs Roberto Bautista-Agut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Beijing Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut
Result
1:2
25/09/2024 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Beijing (China) - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
121
Double Faults
102
1st Serve Percentage
58%69%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (45/69)64% (49/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
45% (22/49)53% (18/34)
Break Points Saved
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
36% (27/76)35% (24/69)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (16/34)55% (27/49)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)50% (5/10)
Winners
4917
Unforced Errors
7744
Net Points Won
119% (19/16)72% (13/18)
Max Points In Row
68
Service Points Won
58% (65/113)61% (67/110)
Return Points Won
39% (43/110)42% (48/113)
Total Points Won
48% (108/223)52% (115/223)
Max Games In Row
43
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Roman Safiullin
62.6%
Roberto Bautista-Agut
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roman Safiullin's performance.
  • Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Roberto Bautista-Agut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roman Safiullin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roberto Bautista-Agut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.75)

    2.51
    (2)
    6.5%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Safiullin will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Safiullin: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Safiullin is ranked ATP: 69. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 61.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Safiullin will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Safiullin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut were as follows:
    15.04.2024 Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut 0:2
    05.07.2023 Roman Safiullin - Roberto Bautista-Agut 3:2
    Latest results of Roman Safiullin
    Latest results of Roberto Bautista-Agut
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Jarry N.2 : 1
    2Safiullin R. (LL)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Lehecka J.Martinez P.2 : 0
    4Bautista-Agut R. (Q)Rinderknech A. (LL)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (PR)2 : 1
    6Davidovich Fokina A.Zhang Z.2 : 1
    7Shang J. (SE)Bu Y. (WC)1 : 2
    8Bergs Z. (Q)Musetti L. (6)1 : 2
    9Bublik A. (8)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    10Zhou Y. (WC)Kotov P. (Q)1 : 2
    11Mannarino A.Sonego L.2 : 1
    12Monfils G.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    13Khachanov K. (7)Carballes Baena R. (LL)2 : 0
    14Cerundolo F.Mensik J. (Q)2 : 0
    15Griekspoor T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16Mpetshi Perricard G.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Safiullin R.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 1
    3Rublev A. (4)Davidovich Fokina A.2 : 0
    4Bu Y.Musetti L. (6)2 : 0
    5Cobolli F.Kotov P.2 : 0
    6Mannarino A.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    7Khachanov K. (7)Cerundolo F.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Lehecka J.2 : 0
    2Rublev A. (4)Bu Y.0 : 2
    3Cobolli F.Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    4Khachanov K. (7)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bu Y.2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2