Ronit Karki vs Vladyslav Orlov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
03/03/2026 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fujairah - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
26
1st serve percentage
60%48%
1st serve points won
53% (19/36)77% (23/30)
2nd serve points won
38% (9/24)45% (15/33)
Break Points Saved
25% (2/8)50% (3/6)
1st return points won
50% (15/30)50% (18/36)
2nd return points won
55% (18/33)63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)75% (6/8)
Winners
920
Unforced errors
3133
Net points won
67% (2/3)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
45% (27/60)60% (38/63)
Return Points Won
40% (25/63)55% (33/60)
Total Points Won
42% (52/123)58% (71/123)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
45% (5/11)70% (7/10)
Return games won
30% (3/10)55% (6/11)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Ronit Karki
34.8%
Vladyslav Orlov
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ronit Karki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ronit Karki's form might have worsened.
  • Vladyslav Orlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vladyslav Orlov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ronit Karki than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ronit Karki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vladyslav Orlov than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vladyslav Orlov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ronit Karki - Vladyslav Orlov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.67
    (1.84)

    1.42
    (1.84)
    7.9%
    (8.7%)
    What is the prediction for Ronit Karki - Vladyslav Orlov?
  • Users Predictions: Vladyslav Orlov will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karki is ranked ATP: 1607. Orlov is ranked ATP: 516.
    • Both players are struggling and far from their best.
    • Orlov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Orlov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Ronit Karki
    02.03.2026 Yuta Shimizu - Ronit Karki Canceled
    11.02.2026 Ronit Karki - Evan Bynoe 0:2
    03.02.2026 Hunter Heck - Ronit Karki 2:0
    30.01.2026 Ronit Karki - Ryan Colby 0:2
    Latest results of Vladyslav Orlov
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Matsuoka H. (1)Murtaza M. (WC)2 : 0
    2Ostapenkov D. (Alt)Matsuda R. (12)2 : 1
    3Alcantara F. C. (Alt)Karki R. (JR)0 : 2
    4Chopra K. (WC)Orlov V. (11)0 : 2
    5Wu Tung-Lin (3)Betov S. (WC)2 : 0
    6Lopez Morillo I.Takahashi Y. (10)2 : 1
    7Alkaya M. (4)Kirkin E.2 : 0
    8Nakagawa S. (Alt)Kumasaka T. (8)0 : 2
    9Erel Y. (5)McDonald N. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kusuhara Y.Gengel M. (7)0 : 2
    11Caniato C. A. (6)Ivashka I. (Alt)0 : 2
    12Balshaw F.Huang T. (9)2 : 0

    Final
    1Matsuoka H. (1)Ostapenkov D.1 : 1
    2Karki R.Orlov V. (11)0 : 2
    3Wu Tung-Lin (3)Lopez Morillo I.2 : 0
    4Alkaya M. (4)Kumasaka T. (8)
    5Erel Y. (5)Gengel M. (7)0 : 0
    6Ivashka I.Balshaw F.