Vélez Sársfield 2 vs Rosario Central 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 1 - 1, ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
43.2%
Draw
29%
Rosario Central 2
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 26.7% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 27.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
  • Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.65)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    3.3
    (2.33)
    9.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Vélez 2 (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield 2 will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3.
    • In recent matches, Vélez 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario Central 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 2:2
    11.10.2024 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 2:1
    08.05.2024 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 0:2
    05.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 1:1
    12.05.2023 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 1:4
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 232107:347
    2Racing Club 232107:347
    3Gimnasia L.P. 232105:237
    4Atl. Tucuman 232104:227
    5River Plate 232017:256
    6Instituto 231203:215
    7Rosario Central 231114:314
    8Talleres Cordoba 231115:504
    9Sarmiento Junin 231113:304
    10San Lorenzo 231113:4-14
    11Argentinos Jrs 230302:203
    12Tigre 231021:3-23
    13Barracas Central 231021:4-33
    14Union de Santa Fe 230213:4-12
    15Gimnasia Mendoza 230212:6-42
    16Godoy Cruz 230124:7-31
    17Aldosivi 230124:7-31
    18Banfield 230121:4-31


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan 232107:257
    2Lanus 232107:347
    3Boca Juniors 232106:247
    4Quilmes 232102:027
    5Deportivo Riestra 232017:346
    6Independiente 232016:426
    7Defensa y Justicia 232014:226
    8Estudiantes L.P. 231203:035
    9Central Cordoba 231114:404
    10Platense 231113:5-24
    11Newells Old Boys 231112:4-24
    12Atl. Rafaela 231026:513
    13Ind. Rivadavia 231022:3-13
    14Ferro 231023:6-33
    15Colon Santa Fe 230121:3-21
    16Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 230122:6-41
    17Belgrano 230122:7-51
    18San Martin S.J. 230032:10-80

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)