Vélez Sársfield 2 vs Rosario Central 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 1 - 1, ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
43.2%
Draw
29%
Rosario Central 2
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 26.7% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 27.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
  • Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.65)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    3.3
    (2.33)
    9.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Vélez 2 (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield 2 will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3.
    • In recent matches, Vélez 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario Central 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 2:2
    11.10.2024 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 2:1
    08.05.2024 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 0:2
    05.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 1:1
    12.05.2023 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 1:4
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Tucuman 243106:3310
    2Gimnasia L.P. 242206:338
    3Racing Club 242118:537
    4Velez Sarsfield 242117:437
    5Talleres Cordoba 242116:517
    6San Lorenzo 242115:417
    7River Plate 242027:346
    8Rosario Central 241215:415
    9Union de Santa Fe 241214:405
    10Instituto 241214:405
    11Gimnasia Mendoza 241213:6-35
    12Argentinos Jrs 240403:304
    13Sarmiento Junin 241123:4-14
    14Aldosivi 241126:8-24
    15Godoy Cruz 241125:7-24
    16Tigre 241031:4-33
    17Barracas Central 241031:6-53
    18Banfield 240222:5-32


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 2431010:3710
    2Lanus 243109:4510
    3Independiente 2430111:479
    4Deportivo Riestra 243018:359
    5Huracan 242117:347
    6Quilmes 242112:117
    7Platense 242114:5-17
    8Newells Old Boys 242113:4-17
    9Atl. Rafaela 242028:626
    10Defensa y Justicia 242025:416
    11Estudiantes L.P. 241214:225
    12Ind. Rivadavia 241122:3-14
    13Ferro 241123:6-34
    14Central Cordoba 241124:9-54
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 240222:6-42
    16Belgrano 240222:7-52
    17Colon Santa Fe 240131:4-31
    18San Martin S.J. 240043:14-110

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)