Result
1:3
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 2
43.2% | Draw
29% | Rosario Central 2
27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(2.65) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
3.3 ↑
(2.33) |
9.1%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Vélez Sársfield 2 will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3.
- In recent matches, Vélez 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Rosario Central 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield 2 won against Rosario Central 2?
Vélez Sársfield 2 has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central 2 won against Vélez Sársfield 2?
Rosario Central 2 has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 were as follows:
29.04.2025
Rosario Central 2
-
Vélez Sársfield 2
2:2
11.10.2024
Vélez Sársfield 2
-
Rosario Central 2
2:1
08.05.2024
Rosario Central 2
-
Vélez Sársfield 2
0:2
05.10.2023
Vélez Sársfield 2
-
Rosario Central 2
1:1
12.05.2023
Rosario Central 2
-
Vélez Sársfield 2
1:4
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield 2
Latest results of Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors 2 ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:7 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | Belgrano 2 ✔ | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 28 |
| 3 | Huracan 2 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Racing Club 2 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe 2 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys 2 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | Tigre 2 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs 2 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Barracas Central 2 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Ind. Rivadavia 2 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. 2 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Colon Santa Fe 2 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba 2 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Banfield 2 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Aldosivi 2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Defensa y Justicia 2 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central 2 ✔ | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:12 | 13 | 30 |
| 2 | River Plate 2 ✔ | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Instituto 2 ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. 2 ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | Atl. Tucuman 2 ✔ | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Independiente 2 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 21 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo 2 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba 2 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 17 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. 2 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
| 10 | Lanus 2 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin 2 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 | Platense 2 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 16 |
| 13 | Velez Sarsfield 2 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz 2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 15 | Ferro 2 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14:26 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 | Deportivo Riestra 2 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Boca Juniors 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Belgrano 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Rosario Central 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
River Plate 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Instituto 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gimnasia L.P. 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Atl. Tucuman 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
