Vélez Sársfield 2 vs Rosario Central 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
30/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Reserve League - Clausura - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 58', 1 - 1, ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield 2
43.2%
Draw
29%
Rosario Central 2
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 26.7% 39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 27.3% 38.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vélez Sársfield 2's performance.
  • Rosario Central 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosario Central 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vélez Sársfield 2 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosario Central 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.65)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    3.3
    (2.33)
    9.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Vélez 2 (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Vélez Sársfield 2 will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vélez 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 3.
    • In recent matches, Vélez 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Rosario Central 2 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 were as follows:
    29.04.2025 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 2:2
    11.10.2024 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 2:1
    08.05.2024 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 0:2
    05.10.2023 Vélez Sársfield 2 - Rosario Central 2 1:1
    12.05.2023 Rosario Central 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 1:4
    Argentinian Reserve League Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield 21081123:61725
    2Rosario Central 21053217:12518
    3Racing Club 21053216:11518
    4Talleres Cordoba 21044211:9216
    5Instituto 21036113:10315
    6Atl. Tucuman 21043312:11115
    7Gimnasia L.P. 21042413:10314
    8River Plate 21042412:10214
    9Argentinos Jrs 2103529:8114
    10Union de Santa Fe 21035213:13014
    11San Lorenzo 2104249:12-314
    12Sarmiento Junin 2103348:10-212
    13Banfield 2103347:9-212
    14Barracas Central 2103256:13-711
    15Tigre 2102357:10-39
    16Gimnasia Mendoza 2102356:13-79
    17Godoy Cruz 21022610:17-78
    18Aldosivi 2102179:19-107


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors 21072121:61523
    2Quilmes 21063110:3721
    3Defensa y Justicia 21062223:101320
    4Lanus 21062217:11620
    5Independiente 21052320:12817
    6Newells Old Boys 21052312:11117
    7Deportivo Riestra 21051417:9816
    8Huracan 21043316:10615
    9Platense 21043310:11-115
    10Estudiantes L.P. 2103347:6112
    11Ind. Rivadavia 21033411:11012
    12Ferro 21032510:14-411
    13Belgrano 21032513:20-711
    14Central Cordoba 21024411:20-910
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2101547:15-88
    16Atl. Rafaela 21021713:17-47
    17Colon Santa Fe 2102177:13-67
    18San Martin S.J. 2102089:33-246

          Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)