Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 7 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/365) | 84% (382/454) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/365) | 84% (382/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (24/47) | 31% (13/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 71% (56/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/25) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.11 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
- 45+1', Navarro F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Gimenez E. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
- 57', Schelotto N. 🟨,
- 60', Navarro F. ↓, Fernandez P. ↑,
- 60', Di Maria A. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
- 64', Fernandez P. 🟨,
- 67', Fernandez N. ↓, Auzmendi A. ↑,
- 67', Torres M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
- 70', Soto A. ↓, Sandez A. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez J. ↓, Duarte G. ↑,
- 71', Schelotto N. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
- 72', Torres F. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Avila G. ⚽, Campaz J. (A),
- 81', Max A. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
- 81', Panaro M. ↓, De Asis J. ↑,
- 82', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 83', Copetti E. ↓, Raffin L. ↑,
- 89', Miramon I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
27.9% | Draw
34.6% | Rosario Central
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↓
(3.4) |
2.73 ↓
(2.85) |
2.52 ↑
(2.35) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Rosario (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Rosario (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Rosario (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
German Conti
(Inactive)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Villarreal S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J.
(Muscle Injury)
Duarte G.
(Inactive)
Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Komar J.
(Heart Problems)
Mallo Blanco F.
(Inactive)
Quintana C.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Rosario Central?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Rosario Central has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central were as follows:
27.09.2025
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Rosario Central
0:3
15.03.2025
Rosario Central
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:1
05.08.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Rosario Central
0:1
17.02.2024
Rosario Central
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:1
23.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Rosario Central
2:1
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
