Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.631.38
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
63
Passes
81% (294/365)84% (382/454)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.631.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.89
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
2014
Passes
81% (294/365)84% (382/454)
Long passes
51% (24/47)31% (13/42)
Passes in final third
61% (59/96)71% (56/79)
Crosses
8% (2/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.87
Throw ins
2318
Fouls
1420
Tackles
60% (15/25)64% (16/25)
Duels won
7455
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.891.61
Goals prevented
-1.110.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ,
  • 45+1', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Gimenez E. , Fernandez J. (A),
  • 57', Schelotto N. 🟨,
  • 60', Navarro F. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 60', Di Maria A. , Campaz J. ,
  • 64', Fernandez P. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez N. , Auzmendi A. ,
  • 67', Torres M. , Torres F. ,
  • 70', Soto A. , Sandez A. ,
  • 70', Fernandez J. , Duarte G. ,
  • 71', Schelotto N. , Castro L. ,
  • 72', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Avila G. , Campaz J. (A),
  • 81', Max A. , Merlo J. ,
  • 81', Panaro M. , De Asis J. ,
  • 82', Sandez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Copetti E. , Raffin L. ,
  • 89', Miramon I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
27.9%
Draw
34.6%
Rosario Central
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 32.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 31.8% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.4)
    2.73
    (2.85)
    2.52
    (2.35)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Rosario (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Rosario (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Rosario (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Muscle Injury) Duarte G. (Inactive) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:3
    15.03.2025 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    05.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:1
    17.02.2024 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    23.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 2:1
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1053216:12418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1144310:9116
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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