Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central
Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalSport TV6
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.482.31
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
82% (265/324)83% (320/384)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.482.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.013.15
Total shots
921
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
39
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1931
Accurate through passes
04
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
139
Passes
82% (265/324)83% (320/384)
Long passes
46% (22/48)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
74% (84/113)78% (97/124)
Crosses
22% (7/32)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.891.96
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
913
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (15/24)
Duels won
4664
Clearances
1746
Interceptions
613
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
3.150.01
Goals prevented
0.15-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Veliz A. , Copetti E. (A),
  • 5', Giampaoli R. , German Conti ,
  • 11', Quintana C. , Mallo Blanco F. ,
  • 40', Di Biasi F. , Merlini B. ,
  • 45+6', Corbalan F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Seoane M. , Max A. ,
  • 56', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
  • 57', Veliz A. 🟨,
  • 61', Corbalan F. 🟨,
  • 66', Sandez A. 🟨,
  • 66', Panaro M. , Merlo J. ,
  • 68', Garayalde N. , Pintado J. ,
  • 71', Sandez A. , Elordi J. M. ,
  • 71', Campaz J. , Cantizano G. ,
  • 73', Merlini B. 🟨,
  • 82', Malcorra I. , Navarro F. ,
  • 82', Copetti E. , Gimenez E. ,
  • 83', 0 - 2, Gimenez E. , Di Maria A. (A),
  • 86', 0 - 3, Di Maria A. , Elordi J. M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
24.7%
Draw
32.2%
Rosario Central
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 31.3% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 31.1% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (2.5)
    3
    (3)
    2.23
    (3)
    4.3%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Gimnasia La Plata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rosario has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.
    • Rosario could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L. (Muscle Injury) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Melluso M. (Muscle Injury) Perez J. (Inactive) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villalba J. (International duty) Villarreal S. (Inactive) Zalazar M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Modica A. (Muscle Injury) O'Connor T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    05.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:1
    17.02.2024 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    23.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 2:1
    31.03.2023 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

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