Result
0:3
27/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 China | K-Ball |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (265/324) | 83% (320/384) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.01 | 3.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (265/324) | 83% (320/384) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/113) | 78% (97/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 63% (15/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.15 | 0.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Veliz A. ⚽, Copetti E. (A),
- 5', Giampaoli R. ↓, German Conti ↑,
- 11', Quintana C. ↓, Mallo Blanco F. ↑,
- 40', Di Biasi F. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
- 45+6', Corbalan F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Seoane M. ↓, Max A. ↑,
- 56', Silva Torrejon P. 🟨,
- 57', Veliz A. 🟨,
- 61', Corbalan F. 🟨,
- 66', Sandez A. 🟨,
- 66', Panaro M. ↓, Merlo J. ↑,
- 68', Garayalde N. ↓, Pintado J. ↑,
- 71', Sandez A. ↓, Elordi J. M. ↑,
- 71', Campaz J. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
- 73', Merlini B. 🟨,
- 82', Malcorra I. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 82', Copetti E. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 2, Gimenez E. ⚽, Di Maria A. (A),
- 86', 0 - 3, Di Maria A. ⚽, Elordi J. M. (A),
Chances of winning
Gimnasia La Plata
24.7% | Draw
32.2% | Rosario Central
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia La Plata's form might have worsened.Rosario Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosario Central's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+12.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia La Plata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (-11.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosario Central, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(2.5) |
3
(3) |
2.23 ↓
(3) |
4.3%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
- Gimnasia La Plata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Rosario has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.
- Rosario could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Castro L.
(Muscle Injury)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Melluso M.
(Muscle Injury)
Perez J.
(Inactive)
Torres F.
(Knee Injury)
Villalba J.
(International duty)
Villarreal S.
(Inactive)
Zalazar M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Modica A.
(Muscle Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Rosario Central?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Rosario Central has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central were as follows:
15.03.2025
Rosario Central
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:1
05.08.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Rosario Central
0:1
17.02.2024
Rosario Central
-
Gimnasia La Plata
2:1
23.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Rosario Central
2:1
31.03.2023
Rosario Central
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Latest results of Rosario Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 4 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 10 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Belgrano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3:14 | -11 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Lanus | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | River Plate | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 13 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Instituto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | San Martin S.J | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Independiente | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
